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// NBA · Wednesday 11 November 2026

Washington Wizards vs Indiana Pacers prediction

Start 7:00pm ET ·

Pick
Indiana Pacers
Chance
62%
Light
Super — best value
Confidence
Very high

Full breakdown: team stats, players & form →

Result

Final: Washington Wizards 101 – 114 Indiana Pacers. Our pick, Indiana Pacers, won ✓.

See our full record →

Recent results

This is the first meeting between these teams this season. Results are taken from final scores, most recent first.

Our pre-game preview

Indiana Pacers are our pick at home against the Washington Wizards. The model gives them a 62% chance of winning, which makes this game a value pick (NBA; bookie price beats our fair price).

On the rosters we expect, the teams rate almost level (90.4 to 91.1 on our team-strength rating), so home court decides the pick.

Recent form: Washington Wizards have been losing by 8.6 points a game, while Indiana Pacers have been losing by 4.8 points a game.

Injuries: Washington Wizards will be without Jamir Watkins (24 min a game), Justin Champagnie (18 min a game) and Tristan Vukcevic (17 min a game) and Indiana Pacers will be without Tyrese Haliburton (33 min a game), Ben Sheppard (21 min a game) and Johnny Furphy (21 min a game). Players listed as unsure are counted by how likely they are to play.

Season so far: Washington Wizards are 4–9 and Indiana Pacers are 5–8.

This preview was written from the data we had before the game.

Game review

What happened

The Pacers beat the Wizards 114–101 at home. Pascal Siakam scored 28 and Ivica Zubac had 20 points and 12 rebounds. Indiana had 29 assists to Washington's 12 and made 21 of 24 free throws. Kyshawn George led Washington with 25, and Anthony Davis had 21 points and 13 rebounds.

What the model got right

The model picked Indiana at 62%, mostly on recent form: the Pacers had been losing by about 5 points a game and the Wizards by almost 9. Tyrese Haliburton, Ben Sheppard and Johnny Furphy were out for Indiana, as the preview expected, and Indiana still won comfortably.

What didn't work

Our team-strength rating had Washington a touch ahead (91.1 to 90.4), so it didn't separate the teams. The model also had no way to see how big the gap in ball movement would be, 29 assists to 12.

Why

A 62% pick is a lean, not a sure thing. A 13-point win with that much of a gap in assists and free throws looks more like one team having a good night than something pre-game numbers could show.

Written after the game. Scores and stats are checked against two independent sources.

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Probabilities come from ProbaLab's own model. They are for entertainment, not advice. How it works.