// NBA · Wednesday 11 November 2026
Washington Wizards vs Indiana Pacers prediction
Start 7:00pm ET ·
- Pick
- Indiana Pacers
- Chance
- 62%
- Light
- Super — best value
- Confidence
- Very high
Full breakdown: team stats, players & form →
Result
Final: Washington Wizards 101 – 114 Indiana Pacers. Our pick, Indiana Pacers, won ✓.
Recent results
- Washington Wizards: 1 win from the last 5, average margin −12.6 points (L 111–122 @ DET, L 75–114 @ OKC, L 132–139 @ ATL, L 105–120 v ATL, W 103–94 @ ORL).
- Indiana Pacers: 1 win from the last 5, average margin −4.6 points (L 122–125 @ DAL, L 102–114 v DEN, W 107–103 @ MEM, L 104–108 v ATL, L 90–98 v BKN).
This is the first meeting between these teams this season. Results are taken from final scores, most recent first.
Our pre-game preview
Indiana Pacers are our pick at home against the Washington Wizards. The model gives them a 62% chance of winning, which makes this game a value pick (NBA; bookie price beats our fair price).
On the rosters we expect, the teams rate almost level (90.4 to 91.1 on our team-strength rating), so home court decides the pick.
Recent form: Washington Wizards have been losing by 8.6 points a game, while Indiana Pacers have been losing by 4.8 points a game.
Injuries: Washington Wizards will be without Jamir Watkins (24 min a game), Justin Champagnie (18 min a game) and Tristan Vukcevic (17 min a game) and Indiana Pacers will be without Tyrese Haliburton (33 min a game), Ben Sheppard (21 min a game) and Johnny Furphy (21 min a game). Players listed as unsure are counted by how likely they are to play.
Season so far: Washington Wizards are 4–9 and Indiana Pacers are 5–8.
This preview was written from the data we had before the game.
Game review
What happened
The Pacers beat the Wizards 114–101 at home. Pascal Siakam scored 28 and Ivica Zubac had 20 points and 12 rebounds. Indiana had 29 assists to Washington's 12 and made 21 of 24 free throws. Kyshawn George led Washington with 25, and Anthony Davis had 21 points and 13 rebounds.
What the model got right
The model picked Indiana at 62%, mostly on recent form: the Pacers had been losing by about 5 points a game and the Wizards by almost 9. Tyrese Haliburton, Ben Sheppard and Johnny Furphy were out for Indiana, as the preview expected, and Indiana still won comfortably.
What didn't work
Our team-strength rating had Washington a touch ahead (91.1 to 90.4), so it didn't separate the teams. The model also had no way to see how big the gap in ball movement would be, 29 assists to 12.
Why
A 62% pick is a lean, not a sure thing. A 13-point win with that much of a gap in assists and free throws looks more like one team having a good night than something pre-game numbers could show.
Written after the game. Scores and stats are checked against two independent sources.
More NBA predictions that day
- Wed, 11 NovBoston Celtics @ Toronto Raptors BOS 56%Orange✓ 98–93
- Wed, 11 NovCleveland Cavaliers @ New York Knicks NY 66%Green✕ 115–107
- Wed, 11 NovSan Antonio Spurs @ Chicago Bulls SA 84%Green✓ 124–119
- Wed, 11 NovLos Angeles Lakers @ Milwaukee Bucks LAL 86%Green✓ 123–112
- Wed, 11 NovDenver Nuggets @ Memphis Grizzlies DEN 53%Red✓ 123–118
- Wed, 11 NovBrooklyn Nets @ New Orleans Pelicans NO 75%Super — best value✕ 145–111
- Wed, 11 NovOrlando Magic @ Utah Jazz ORL 60%Orange✓ 123–108
- Wed, 11 NovGolden State Warriors @ Houston Rockets HOU 63%Orange✓ 108–115
- Wed, 11 NovOklahoma City Thunder @ Portland Trail Blazers POR 52%Red✓ 108–118
Probabilities come from ProbaLab's own model. They are for entertainment, not advice. How it works.