// NBA · Wednesday 11 November 2026
Boston Celtics vs Toronto Raptors prediction
Start 7:00pm ET ·
- Pick
- Boston Celtics
- Chance
- 56%
- Light
- Orange
- Confidence
- Medium
Full breakdown: team stats, players & form →
Result
Final: Boston Celtics 98 – 93 Toronto Raptors. Our pick, Boston Celtics, won ✓.
Recent results
- Boston Celtics: 4 wins from the last 5, average margin +14.4 points (W 123–101 @ PHI, W 117–97 @ MIL, W 119–80 @ CHA, W 109–102 v MIL, L 93–109 @ HOU).
- Toronto Raptors: 2 wins from the last 5, average margin −4.0 points (L 102–118 v MEM, W 121–107 @ MIL, L 109–128 @ DEN, W 125–118 @ LAC, L 125–131 @ LAL).
This is the first meeting between these teams this season. Results are taken from final scores, most recent first.
Our pre-game preview
Boston Celtics are our pick on the road against the Toronto Raptors. The model gives them a 56% chance of winning, which makes this game a lean (55 to 65%).
On the rosters we expect, Boston Celtics rate as the stronger team (87.4 to 83.4 on our team-strength rating), and that is the main reason for the pick.
Recent form: Boston Celtics have been winning by 11.4 points a game, while Toronto Raptors have been winning by 2.4 points a game.
Schedule: Boston Celtics are on the second night of a back-to-back, which the model takes into account.
Injuries: Boston Celtics will be without Paul George (30 min a game) and Toronto Raptors will be without Scottie Barnes (33 min a game) and Kawhi Leonard (26 min a game). Players listed as unsure are counted by how likely they are to play.
Season so far: Boston Celtics are 10–2 and Toronto Raptors are 5–7.
This preview was written from the data we had before the game.
Game review
What happened
The Celtics beat the Raptors 98–93 in Toronto. Jayson Tatum scored 24 with 8 assists, and Derrick White added 19. Boston made 24 of 28 free throws to Toronto's 13 of 18, while the Raptors made 16 threes to Boston's 14. Ja'Kobe Walter led Toronto with 17.
What the model got right
We picked Boston at 56%, so this was only a mild lean. Both team strength (87.4 to 83.4) and form (Boston winning by about 11 a game, Toronto by about 2) pointed the same way. Scottie Barnes and Kawhi Leonard were out for Toronto, as expected.
What didn't work
The win was narrow, and Boston shot only 30 of 73 from the floor. Paul George was listed as questionable in the preview and did not play, which the model could not know ahead of time.
Why
At 56% the model was barely leaning, so getting this one right says little about its accuracy. A five-point game could easily have gone the other way.
Written after the game. Scores and stats are checked against two independent sources.
More NBA predictions that day
- Wed, 11 NovCleveland Cavaliers @ New York Knicks NY 66%Green✕ 115–107
- Wed, 11 NovWashington Wizards @ Indiana Pacers IND 62%Super — best value✓ 101–114
- Wed, 11 NovLos Angeles Lakers @ Milwaukee Bucks LAL 86%Green✓ 123–112
- Wed, 11 NovSan Antonio Spurs @ Chicago Bulls SA 84%Green✓ 124–119
- Wed, 11 NovBrooklyn Nets @ New Orleans Pelicans NO 75%Super — best value✕ 145–111
- Wed, 11 NovDenver Nuggets @ Memphis Grizzlies DEN 53%Red✓ 123–118
- Wed, 11 NovOrlando Magic @ Utah Jazz ORL 60%Orange✓ 123–108
- Wed, 11 NovGolden State Warriors @ Houston Rockets HOU 63%Orange✓ 108–115
- Wed, 11 NovOklahoma City Thunder @ Portland Trail Blazers POR 52%Red✓ 108–118
Probabilities come from ProbaLab's own model. They are for entertainment, not advice. How it works.