// NBA · Wednesday 11 November 2026
Cleveland Cavaliers vs New York Knicks prediction
Start 7:00pm ET ·
- Pick
- New York Knicks
- Chance
- 66%
- Light
- Green
- Confidence
- High
Full breakdown: team stats, players & form →
Result
Final: Cleveland Cavaliers 115 – 107 New York Knicks. Our pick, New York Knicks, lost ✕.
Recent results
- Cleveland Cavaliers: 1 win from the last 5, average margin −2.6 points (L 112–124 @ CHA, L 97–109 v NY, W 119–95 v PHI, L 116–124 @ OKC, L 112–117 v OKC).
- New York Knicks: 4 wins from the last 5, average margin +16.4 points (W 117–85 v MIL, W 109–97 @ CLE, W 135–105 v CHI, W 103–90 v BKN, L 93–98 @ PHI).
These teams have already met 1 time this season. Results are taken from final scores, most recent first.
Our pre-game preview
New York Knicks are our pick at home against the Cleveland Cavaliers. The model gives them a 66% chance of winning, which makes this game a 65%+ top pick.
Cleveland Cavaliers rate slightly stronger on the rosters we expect (93.9 to 90.5 on our team-strength rating), but home court push the pick to New York Knicks.
Recent form: Cleveland Cavaliers have been losing by 0.2 points a game, while New York Knicks have been winning by 10.6 points a game.
Schedule: New York Knicks are on the second night of a back-to-back, which the model takes into account.
Injuries: Cleveland Cavaliers will be without Sam Merrill (23 min a game). Players listed as unsure are counted by how likely they are to play.
Season so far: Cleveland Cavaliers are 7–7 and New York Knicks are 6–6.
This preview was written from the data we had before the game.
Game review
What happened
The Cavaliers beat the Knicks 115–107 in New York. James Harden scored 32 with 5 of 7 from three, and Donovan Mitchell added 23. Cleveland made 20 free throws to New York's 11. The Knicks had 33 assists to 23, with Jalen Brunson scoring 27 and Karl-Anthony Towns 21.
What the model got right
The model gave New York a 66% chance, mostly because of form: the Knicks had been winning by about 11 points a game while Cleveland was roughly level. New York did move the ball well and shot almost the same as Cleveland, 41 of 83 from the floor to 40 of 85.
What didn't work
The model was wrong here. Our team-strength rating actually had Cleveland ahead (93.9 to 90.5), and the pick leaned on form instead. We also had no way to see a 32-point night from Harden or Cleveland's edge at the free-throw line.
Why
A 66% chance still loses about 1 game in 3. With the shooting this even, the game came down to free throws and one big scoring night, which pre-game numbers don't capture well.
Written after the game. Scores and stats are checked against two independent sources.
More NBA predictions that day
- Wed, 11 NovWashington Wizards @ Indiana Pacers IND 62%Super — best value✓ 101–114
- Wed, 11 NovBoston Celtics @ Toronto Raptors BOS 56%Orange✓ 98–93
- Wed, 11 NovSan Antonio Spurs @ Chicago Bulls SA 84%Green✓ 124–119
- Wed, 11 NovLos Angeles Lakers @ Milwaukee Bucks LAL 86%Green✓ 123–112
- Wed, 11 NovDenver Nuggets @ Memphis Grizzlies DEN 53%Red✓ 123–118
- Wed, 11 NovBrooklyn Nets @ New Orleans Pelicans NO 75%Super — best value✕ 145–111
- Wed, 11 NovOrlando Magic @ Utah Jazz ORL 60%Orange✓ 123–108
- Wed, 11 NovGolden State Warriors @ Houston Rockets HOU 63%Orange✓ 108–115
- Wed, 11 NovOklahoma City Thunder @ Portland Trail Blazers POR 52%Red✓ 108–118
Probabilities come from ProbaLab's own model. They are for entertainment, not advice. How it works.