// NBA · Wednesday 11 November 2026
Brooklyn Nets vs New Orleans Pelicans prediction
Start 8:00pm ET ·
- Pick
- New Orleans Pelicans
- Chance
- 75%
- Light
- Super — best value
- Confidence
- Very high
Full breakdown: team stats, players & form →
Result
Final: Brooklyn Nets 145 – 111 New Orleans Pelicans. Our pick, New Orleans Pelicans, lost ✕.
Recent results
- Brooklyn Nets: 2 wins from the last 5, average margin −7.0 points (L 93–130 @ DAL, L 121–124 @ ATL, W 114–104 v CHA, L 90–103 @ NY, W 98–90 @ IND).
- New Orleans Pelicans: 2 wins from the last 5, average margin −13.0 points (L 87–138 @ GS, L 123–139 @ LAC, L 109–115 v MIN, W 120–113 v UTAH, W 135–134 @ MEM).
This is the first meeting between these teams this season. Results are taken from final scores, most recent first.
Our pre-game preview
New Orleans Pelicans are our pick at home against the Brooklyn Nets. The model gives them a 75% chance of winning, which makes this game a value pick (NBA; bookie price beats our fair price).
On the rosters we expect, New Orleans Pelicans rate as the stronger team (92.3 to 81.7 on our team-strength rating), and that is the main reason for the pick.
Recent form: Brooklyn Nets have been losing by 10.6 points a game, while New Orleans Pelicans have been losing by 6.0 points a game.
Injuries: Brooklyn Nets will be without Mikel Brown Jr. (23 min a game) and Nolan Traore (22 min a game) and New Orleans Pelicans will be without Trey Murphy III (33 min a game), Trendon Watford (18 min a game) and Bennedict Mathurin (16 min a game). Players listed as unsure are counted by how likely they are to play.
Season so far: Brooklyn Nets are 3–9 and New Orleans Pelicans are 4–10.
This preview was written from the data we had before the game.
Game review
What happened
The Nets beat the Pelicans 145–111 in New Orleans. Brooklyn made 20 of 41 from three and 35 of 42 free throws, and won the rebounds 42 to 28. Michael Porter Jr. scored 22 and Julius Randle had 17 points and 5 assists. Zion Williamson led New Orleans with 29.
What the model got right
The model's reasons looked sensible on paper: New Orleans was rated much stronger (92.3 to 81.7) and in less bad form (losing by about 6 a game against about 11 for Brooklyn). None of that showed up in the game.
What didn't work
The model was clearly wrong. It gave New Orleans a 75% chance, mostly because it rated them much stronger (92.3 to 81.7), and the result was a 34-point loss. Four New Orleans players were out or questionable in the preview (Trey Murphy III, Bennedict Mathurin, Trendon Watford and Yves Missi) and none played, so the strength rating may have overstated the team that actually took the floor.
Why
A 75% chance still loses about 1 game in 4, but a margin this large says the model missed something real. The absences are one likely reason, though we can't prove that from a single game.
Written after the game. Scores and stats are checked against two independent sources.
More NBA predictions that day
- Wed, 11 NovWashington Wizards @ Indiana Pacers IND 62%Super — best value✓ 101–114
- Wed, 11 NovBoston Celtics @ Toronto Raptors BOS 56%Orange✓ 98–93
- Wed, 11 NovCleveland Cavaliers @ New York Knicks NY 66%Green✕ 115–107
- Wed, 11 NovSan Antonio Spurs @ Chicago Bulls SA 84%Green✓ 124–119
- Wed, 11 NovLos Angeles Lakers @ Milwaukee Bucks LAL 86%Green✓ 123–112
- Wed, 11 NovDenver Nuggets @ Memphis Grizzlies DEN 53%Red✓ 123–118
- Wed, 11 NovOrlando Magic @ Utah Jazz ORL 60%Orange✓ 123–108
- Wed, 11 NovGolden State Warriors @ Houston Rockets HOU 63%Orange✓ 108–115
- Wed, 11 NovOklahoma City Thunder @ Portland Trail Blazers POR 52%Red✓ 108–118
Probabilities come from ProbaLab's own model. They are for entertainment, not advice. How it works.