// NBA · Wednesday 11 November 2026
Orlando Magic vs Utah Jazz prediction
Start 9:00pm ET ·
- Pick
- Orlando Magic
- Chance
- 60%
- Light
- Orange
- Confidence
- Medium
Full breakdown: team stats, players & form →
Result
Final: Orlando Magic 123 – 108 Utah Jazz. Our pick, Orlando Magic, won ✓.
Recent results
- Orlando Magic: 1 win from the last 5, average margin −6.6 points (W 107–100 @ SAC, L 119–126 @ GS, L 104–117 @ PHX, L 94–103 v WSH, L 97–108 v BOS).
- Utah Jazz: 0 wins from the last 5, average margin −12.4 points (L 109–115 v MIA, L 100–115 @ MIN, L 100–112 @ DAL, L 113–120 @ NO, L 97–119 @ SA).
This is the first meeting between these teams this season. Results are taken from final scores, most recent first.
Our pre-game preview
Orlando Magic are our pick on the road against the Utah Jazz. The model gives them a 60% chance of winning, which makes this game a lean (55 to 65%).
Utah Jazz rate slightly stronger on the rosters we expect (84.2 to 81.1 on our team-strength rating), but rest and form push the pick to Orlando Magic.
Recent form: Orlando Magic have been losing by 4.8 points a game, while Utah Jazz have been losing by 10.9 points a game.
Schedule: Orlando Magic are on the second night of a back-to-back and Utah Jazz are on the second night of a back-to-back, which the model takes into account.
Injuries: Orlando Magic will be without Paolo Banchero (34 min a game), Jalen Suggs (33 min a game), Tristan da Silva (30 min a game) and Jamal Cain (20 min a game) and Utah Jazz will be without Lauri Markkanen (30 min a game), Jusuf Nurkic (29 min a game) and Jaren Jackson Jr. (25 min a game). Players listed as unsure are counted by how likely they are to play.
Season so far: Orlando Magic are 5–7 and Utah Jazz are 1–12.
This preview was written from the data we had before the game.
Game review
What happened
The Magic beat the Jazz 123–108 in Utah. Franz Wagner scored 38, Desmond Bane added 25 with 7 of 11 from three, and Anthony Black had 22 points and 8 assists. Orlando made 18 of 46 from three. Darryn Peterson led Utah with 22, and the Jazz made 28 of 34 free throws.
What the model got right
We picked Orlando at 60%, based mainly on form: the Magic had been losing by about 5 a game and the Jazz by about 11. Orlando was without Paolo Banchero, Jalen Suggs, Jonathan Isaac and Noah Penda, and Utah without Lauri Markkanen, Jaren Jackson Jr. and Jusuf Nurkić.
What didn't work
Our team-strength rating had Utah slightly ahead (84.2 to 81.1), and Orlando won by 15 despite four players out. That's a bigger result than the model's modest lean suggested, and it did not see Wagner's 38 coming.
Why
A 60% pick is a lean, not a call. Both teams were short-handed, so the picture was noisy, and this result is better treated as one data point.
Written after the game. Scores and stats are checked against two independent sources.
More NBA predictions that day
- Wed, 11 NovBoston Celtics @ Toronto Raptors BOS 56%Orange✓ 98–93
- Wed, 11 NovCleveland Cavaliers @ New York Knicks NY 66%Green✕ 115–107
- Wed, 11 NovWashington Wizards @ Indiana Pacers IND 62%Super — best value✓ 101–114
- Wed, 11 NovLos Angeles Lakers @ Milwaukee Bucks LAL 86%Green✓ 123–112
- Wed, 11 NovSan Antonio Spurs @ Chicago Bulls SA 84%Green✓ 124–119
- Wed, 11 NovBrooklyn Nets @ New Orleans Pelicans NO 75%Super — best value✕ 145–111
- Wed, 11 NovDenver Nuggets @ Memphis Grizzlies DEN 53%Red✓ 123–118
- Wed, 11 NovGolden State Warriors @ Houston Rockets HOU 63%Orange✓ 108–115
- Wed, 11 NovOklahoma City Thunder @ Portland Trail Blazers POR 52%Red✓ 108–118
Probabilities come from ProbaLab's own model. They are for entertainment, not advice. How it works.