// NBA · Wednesday 11 November 2026
Oklahoma City Thunder vs Portland Trail Blazers prediction
Start 10:00pm ET ·
- Pick
- Portland Trail Blazers
- Chance
- 52%
- Light
- Red
- Confidence
- Low
Full breakdown: team stats, players & form →
Result
Final: Oklahoma City Thunder 108 – 118 Portland Trail Blazers. Our pick, Portland Trail Blazers, won ✓.
Recent results
- Oklahoma City Thunder: 4 wins from the last 5, average margin +12.6 points (L 103–123 @ POR, W 114–75 v WSH, W 128–97 @ MEM, W 124–116 v CLE, W 117–112 @ CLE).
- Portland Trail Blazers: 3 wins from the last 5, average margin +2.6 points (W 123–103 v OKC, L 103–125 v SA, L 118–124 @ LAL, W 132–119 @ PHX, W 118–110 @ DEN).
These teams have already met 1 time this season. Results are taken from final scores, most recent first.
Our pre-game preview
Portland Trail Blazers are our pick at home against the Oklahoma City Thunder. The model gives them a 52% chance of winning, which makes this game close to a coin flip (under 55%).
On the rosters we expect, Portland Trail Blazers rate as the stronger team (90.4 to 85.4 on our team-strength rating), and that is the main reason for the pick.
Recent form: Oklahoma City Thunder have been winning by 6.0 points a game, while Portland Trail Blazers have been winning by 4.2 points a game.
Schedule: Oklahoma City Thunder are on the second night of a back-to-back and Portland Trail Blazers are on the second night of a back-to-back, which the model takes into account.
Injuries: Oklahoma City Thunder will be without Jalen Williams (33 min a game), Chet Holmgren (30 min a game), Jaylin Williams (19 min a game) and Cason Wallace (15 min a game), Ajay Mitchell (questionable) may not play for Oklahoma City Thunder and Portland Trail Blazers will be without Ja Morant (26 min a game) and Shaedon Sharpe (25 min a game). Players listed as unsure are counted by how likely they are to play.
Season so far: Oklahoma City Thunder are 8–5 and Portland Trail Blazers are 9–3.
This preview was written from the data we had before the game.
Game review
What happened
The Trail Blazers beat the Thunder 118–108 at home. Deni Avdija scored 28 with 6 assists, and Jrue Holiday had 19 points with 5 of 8 from three. Portland made 19 of 49 from three, and Oklahoma City 11 of 36. Shai Gilgeous-Alexander led all scorers with 31, though he missed all 7 of his threes, and Isaiah Hartenstein had 20 points and 11 rebounds.
What the model got right
We picked Portland at 52%, so this was a coin flip. The model had Portland stronger (90.4 to 85.4), though form leaned slightly to Oklahoma City (about 6 a game against about 4). Ja Morant, Shaedon Sharpe and Chris Youngblood were out for Portland, and Chet Holmgren, Jalen Williams and Cason Wallace for Oklahoma City.
What didn't work
Nothing strong either way. The model could not separate two short-handed teams, and Portland's three-point shooting decided it.
Why
At 52% the pick says almost nothing, and a hit here doesn't mean much. A hot night from three for Portland drove the 10-point margin.
Written after the game. Scores and stats are checked against two independent sources.
More NBA predictions that day
- Wed, 11 NovBoston Celtics @ Toronto Raptors BOS 56%Orange✓ 98–93
- Wed, 11 NovCleveland Cavaliers @ New York Knicks NY 66%Green✕ 115–107
- Wed, 11 NovWashington Wizards @ Indiana Pacers IND 62%Super — best value✓ 101–114
- Wed, 11 NovLos Angeles Lakers @ Milwaukee Bucks LAL 86%Green✓ 123–112
- Wed, 11 NovSan Antonio Spurs @ Chicago Bulls SA 84%Green✓ 124–119
- Wed, 11 NovBrooklyn Nets @ New Orleans Pelicans NO 75%Super — best value✕ 145–111
- Wed, 11 NovDenver Nuggets @ Memphis Grizzlies DEN 53%Red✓ 123–118
- Wed, 11 NovOrlando Magic @ Utah Jazz ORL 60%Orange✓ 123–108
- Wed, 11 NovGolden State Warriors @ Houston Rockets HOU 63%Orange✓ 108–115
Probabilities come from ProbaLab's own model. They are for entertainment, not advice. How it works.