// NBA · Wednesday 11 November 2026
Los Angeles Lakers vs Milwaukee Bucks prediction
Start 8:00pm ET ·
- Pick
- Los Angeles Lakers
- Chance
- 86%
- Light
- Green
- Confidence
- High
Full breakdown: team stats, players & form →
Result
Final: Los Angeles Lakers 123 – 112 Milwaukee Bucks. Our pick, Los Angeles Lakers, won ✓.
Recent results
- Los Angeles Lakers: 5 wins from the last 5, average margin +11.0 points (W 124–114 @ ATL, W 121–116 @ DET, W 124–118 v POR, W 116–103 @ SAC, W 138–117 v MIA).
- Milwaukee Bucks: 0 wins from the last 5, average margin −17.0 points (L 85–117 @ NY, L 97–117 v BOS, L 107–121 v TOR, L 102–109 @ BOS, L 100–112 @ MIN).
This is the first meeting between these teams this season. Results are taken from final scores, most recent first.
Our pre-game preview
Los Angeles Lakers are our pick on the road against the Milwaukee Bucks. The model gives them a 86% chance of winning, which makes this game a 65%+ top pick.
On the rosters we expect, Los Angeles Lakers rate as the stronger team (102.1 to 82.4 on our team-strength rating), and that is the main reason for the pick.
Recent form: Los Angeles Lakers have been winning by 5.4 points a game, while Milwaukee Bucks have been losing by 14.4 points a game.
Schedule: Milwaukee Bucks are on the second night of a back-to-back, which the model takes into account.
Injuries: Los Angeles Lakers will be without Quentin Grimes (25 min a game), Milwaukee Bucks will be without Myles Turner (27 min a game) and Tyler Herro (questionable) may not play for Milwaukee Bucks. Players listed as unsure are counted by how likely they are to play.
Season so far: Los Angeles Lakers are 11–2 and Milwaukee Bucks are 1–12.
This preview was written from the data we had before the game.
Game review
What happened
The Lakers beat the Bucks 123–112 in Milwaukee. Luka Dončić scored 32 and Sandro Mamukelashvili added 23. Los Angeles won the rebounds 48 to 40. Tyler Herro led Milwaukee with 27 and Jaime Jaquez Jr. scored 25, and the Bucks made 29 of 33 free throws.
What the model got right
The model gave the Lakers an 86% chance because it rated them far stronger (102.1 to 82.4), and Milwaukee had been losing by about 14 points a game. Myles Turner was out for Milwaukee. Tyler Herro was listed as questionable and played, and Quentin Grimes sat out for Los Angeles, as listed.
What didn't work
Nothing big. Milwaukee got to the line more and lost by 11, and the model couldn't have known Herro would play and score 27.
Why
A confident pick that went the expected way. Even at 86%, about 1 game in 7 goes the other way, so one result like this doesn't prove much on its own.
Written after the game. Scores and stats are checked against two independent sources.
More NBA predictions that day
- Wed, 11 NovWashington Wizards @ Indiana Pacers IND 62%Super — best value✓ 101–114
- Wed, 11 NovBoston Celtics @ Toronto Raptors BOS 56%Orange✓ 98–93
- Wed, 11 NovCleveland Cavaliers @ New York Knicks NY 66%Green✕ 115–107
- Wed, 11 NovSan Antonio Spurs @ Chicago Bulls SA 84%Green✓ 124–119
- Wed, 11 NovDenver Nuggets @ Memphis Grizzlies DEN 53%Red✓ 123–118
- Wed, 11 NovBrooklyn Nets @ New Orleans Pelicans NO 75%Super — best value✕ 145–111
- Wed, 11 NovOrlando Magic @ Utah Jazz ORL 60%Orange✓ 123–108
- Wed, 11 NovGolden State Warriors @ Houston Rockets HOU 63%Orange✓ 108–115
- Wed, 11 NovOklahoma City Thunder @ Portland Trail Blazers POR 52%Red✓ 108–118
Probabilities come from ProbaLab's own model. They are for entertainment, not advice. How it works.