// NFL · Week 8 · Sunday 1 November 2026
Philadelphia Eagles vs Washington Commanders prediction
Kick-off 8:20pm ET ·
- Pick
- Washington Commanders
- Chance
- 69%
- Light
- Green
- Confidence
- High
Full breakdown: team stats, players & form →
Result
Final: Philadelphia Eagles 10 – 27 Washington Commanders. Our pick, Washington Commanders, won ✓.
Our pre-game preview
Washington Commanders are our pick at home against the Philadelphia Eagles in Week 8. The model gives them a 69% chance of winning, which makes this game a 65%+ top pick.
Philadelphia Eagles have the higher team rating (1426 to 1401), but home field push the pick to Washington Commanders.
Schedule: Washington Commanders are coming off a bye.
Quarterbacks: we expect Tanner McKee to start for Philadelphia Eagles, with only 4 career starts; we expect Jayden Daniels to start for Washington Commanders (28 career starts). We assume each team's most recent starter plays unless the injury report says otherwise.
Season so far: Philadelphia Eagles are 2–6 and Washington Commanders are 2–4–1.
This preview was written from the data we had before the game.
Game review
What happened
The Commanders beat the Eagles 27–10 at home. Jayden Daniels completed 16 of 29 passes for 217 yards with 1 touchdown, and Treylon Burks caught 3 passes for 81 yards. For the Eagles, Tanner McKee completed 23 of 34 passes for 212 yards with 1 interception.
What the model got right
The model gave the Commanders a 69% chance at home, mainly because of home field, even though the Eagles had the higher team rating (1426 to 1401), and they won by 17. Both starting quarterbacks were the ones the preview expected: Tanner McKee for the Eagles and Jayden Daniels for the Commanders.
What didn't work
Our rating had the Eagles as the stronger team, and on the day that didn't decide it. The Eagles never got close enough to make it a contest.
Why
The result fits what the model leaned on, home field. One win doesn't prove the model right: at 69%, about 3 in 10 games like this go the other way, and every result stays on our record.
Written after the game. Scores and stats are checked against two independent sources.
More NFL predictions that day
- Sun, 1 NovTennessee Titans @ Cincinnati Bengals CIN 83%Green✓ 36–43
- Sun, 1 NovArizona Cardinals @ Dallas Cowboys DAL 67%Green✕ 33–30
- Sun, 1 NovAtlanta Falcons @ Tampa Bay Buccaneers TB 55%Red✓ 0–16
- Sun, 1 NovBaltimore Ravens @ Buffalo Bills BUF 81%Green✓ 10–36
- Sun, 1 NovCleveland Browns @ Pittsburgh Steelers PIT 68%Green✓ 6–27
- Sun, 1 NovIndianapolis Colts @ Jacksonville Jaguars JAX 82%Green✓ 7–42
- Sun, 1 NovLas Vegas Raiders @ New York Jets NYJ 52%Red✕ 38–33
- Sun, 1 NovMinnesota Vikings @ Detroit Lions MIN 53%Red✕ 15–19
- Sun, 1 NovLos Angeles Chargers @ Los Angeles Rams LA 73%Green✓ 9–24
- Sun, 1 NovKansas City Chiefs @ Denver Broncos DEN 65%Green✓ 24–28
- Sun, 1 NovNew England Patriots @ Miami Dolphins NE 71%Green✓ 24–19
Probabilities come from ProbaLab's own model. They are for entertainment, not advice. How it works.