// NFL · Week 8 · Sunday 1 November 2026
Minnesota Vikings vs Detroit Lions prediction
Kick-off 1:00pm ET ·
- Pick
- Minnesota Vikings
- Chance
- 53%
- Light
- Red
- Confidence
- Low
Full breakdown: team stats, players & form →
Result
Final: Minnesota Vikings 15 – 19 Detroit Lions. Our pick, Minnesota Vikings, lost ✕.
Our pre-game preview
Minnesota Vikings are our pick on the road against the Detroit Lions in Week 8. The model gives them a 53% chance of winning, which makes this game close to a coin flip (under 55%).
Minnesota Vikings have the higher team rating (1654 to 1562), built from results and winning margins.
Quarterbacks: we expect Kyler Murray to start for Minnesota Vikings (92 career starts); we expect Jared Goff to start for Detroit Lions (166 career starts). We assume each team's most recent starter plays unless the injury report says otherwise.
Season so far: Minnesota Vikings are 6–1 and Detroit Lions are 5–2.
This preview was written from the data we had before the game.
Game review
What happened
The Lions beat the Vikings 19–15 at home. Jared Goff completed 18 of 25 passes for 176 yards with 1 touchdown and 1 interception, and Jahmyr Gibbs ran for 153 yards on 23 carries and scored once. For the Vikings, Kyler Murray completed 17 of 29 passes for 210 yards with 2 touchdowns and 1 interception.
What the model got right
Both starting quarterbacks were the ones the preview expected: Kyler Murray for the Vikings and Jared Goff for the Lions. The model called this close to a coin flip, and it was a one-score game: 4 points at the end.
What didn't work
The model leaned to the Vikings at 53%, close to a coin flip, and it got this one wrong: the Lions won by 4. The Lions out-gained the Vikings 384 yards to 266. Our team rating had the Vikings ahead (1654 to 1562), and that didn't hold up.
Why
The pick rested mostly on our team rating, which is built from past results and can't see how a single game will go. At 53% it was close to a coin flip, so a result like this happens almost half the time. It stays on our record like every other result.
Written after the game. Scores and stats are checked against two independent sources.
More NFL predictions that day
- Sun, 1 NovTennessee Titans @ Cincinnati Bengals CIN 83%Green✓ 36–43
- Sun, 1 NovArizona Cardinals @ Dallas Cowboys DAL 67%Green✕ 33–30
- Sun, 1 NovAtlanta Falcons @ Tampa Bay Buccaneers TB 55%Red✓ 0–16
- Sun, 1 NovBaltimore Ravens @ Buffalo Bills BUF 81%Green✓ 10–36
- Sun, 1 NovCleveland Browns @ Pittsburgh Steelers PIT 68%Green✓ 6–27
- Sun, 1 NovIndianapolis Colts @ Jacksonville Jaguars JAX 82%Green✓ 7–42
- Sun, 1 NovLas Vegas Raiders @ New York Jets NYJ 52%Red✕ 38–33
- Sun, 1 NovLos Angeles Chargers @ Los Angeles Rams LA 73%Green✓ 9–24
- Sun, 1 NovKansas City Chiefs @ Denver Broncos DEN 65%Green✓ 24–28
- Sun, 1 NovNew England Patriots @ Miami Dolphins NE 71%Green✓ 24–19
- Sun, 1 NovPhiladelphia Eagles @ Washington Commanders WAS 69%Green✓ 10–27
Probabilities come from ProbaLab's own model. They are for entertainment, not advice. How it works.