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// NFL · Week 8 · Sunday 1 November 2026

Los Angeles Chargers vs Los Angeles Rams prediction

Kick-off 4:05pm ET ·

Pick
Los Angeles Rams
Chance
73%
Light
Green
Confidence
High

Full breakdown: team stats, players & form →

Result

Final: Los Angeles Chargers 9 – 24 Los Angeles Rams. Our pick, Los Angeles Rams, won ✓.

See our full record →

Our pre-game preview

Los Angeles Rams are our pick at home against the Los Angeles Chargers in Week 8. The model gives them a 73% chance of winning, which makes this game a 65%+ top pick.

Los Angeles Rams have the higher team rating (1579 to 1392), built from results and winning margins, and they also have home field.

Schedule: Los Angeles Chargers are coming off a bye.

Quarterbacks: we expect Justin Herbert to start for Los Angeles Chargers (104 career starts); we expect Matthew Stafford to start for Los Angeles Rams (259 career starts). We assume each team's most recent starter plays unless the injury report says otherwise.

Season so far: Los Angeles Chargers are 0–7 and Los Angeles Rams are 4–4.

This preview was written from the data we had before the game.

Game review

What happened

The Rams beat the Chargers 24–9 at home. Matthew Stafford completed 17 of 25 passes for 157 yards with 1 touchdown and 1 interception, and Blake Corum ran for 73 yards on 11 carries and scored once. For the Chargers, Justin Herbert completed 24 of 32 passes for 257 yards with 2 interceptions.

What the model got right

The model gave the Rams a 73% chance at home, mainly because of their higher team rating (1579 to 1392), plus home field, and they won by 15. Both starting quarterbacks were the ones the preview expected: Justin Herbert for the Chargers and Matthew Stafford for the Rams.

What didn't work

Not much went against the model in this one. The Chargers never got close enough to make it a contest.

Why

The result fits what the model leaned on, the team rating. One win doesn't prove the model right: at 73%, about 3 in 10 games like this go the other way, and every result stays on our record.

Written after the game. Scores and stats are checked against two independent sources.

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Probabilities come from ProbaLab's own model. They are for entertainment, not advice. How it works.