// NFL · Week 8 · Sunday 1 November 2026
Baltimore Ravens vs Buffalo Bills prediction
Kick-off 1:00pm ET ·
- Pick
- Buffalo Bills
- Chance
- 81%
- Light
- Green
- Confidence
- High
Full breakdown: team stats, players & form →
Result
Final: Baltimore Ravens 10 – 36 Buffalo Bills. Our pick, Buffalo Bills, won ✓.
Our pre-game preview
Buffalo Bills are our pick at home against the Baltimore Ravens in Week 8. The model gives them a 81% chance of winning, which makes this game a 65%+ top pick.
Buffalo Bills have the higher team rating (1663 to 1510), built from results and winning margins, and they also have home field.
Schedule: Buffalo Bills are coming off a bye.
Quarterbacks: we expect Tyler Huntley to start for Baltimore Ravens, though he hasn't been their regular starter this season; we expect Josh Allen to start for Buffalo Bills (145 career starts). We assume each team's most recent starter plays unless the injury report says otherwise.
Season so far: Baltimore Ravens are 4–5 and Buffalo Bills are 6–1.
This preview was written from the data we had before the game.
Game review
What happened
The Bills beat the Ravens 36–10 at home. Josh Allen completed 21 of 34 passes for 289 yards with 2 touchdowns and 1 interception, and James Cook III ran for 80 yards on 21 carries and scored once. For the Ravens, Joe Fagnano completed 10 of 21 passes for 91 yards with 1 interception.
What the model got right
The model gave the Bills an 80% chance at home, mainly because of their higher team rating (1663 to 1510), plus home field, and they won by 26. Josh Allen started for the Bills, as the preview expected.
What didn't work
Not much went against the model in this one. The Ravens never got close enough to make it a contest.
Why
The result fits what the model leaned on, the team rating. One win doesn't prove the model right: at 80%, about 2 in 10 games like this go the other way, and every result stays on our record.
Written after the game. Scores and stats are checked against two independent sources.
More NFL predictions that day
- Sun, 1 NovTennessee Titans @ Cincinnati Bengals CIN 83%Green✓ 36–43
- Sun, 1 NovArizona Cardinals @ Dallas Cowboys DAL 67%Green✕ 33–30
- Sun, 1 NovAtlanta Falcons @ Tampa Bay Buccaneers TB 55%Red✓ 0–16
- Sun, 1 NovCleveland Browns @ Pittsburgh Steelers PIT 68%Green✓ 6–27
- Sun, 1 NovIndianapolis Colts @ Jacksonville Jaguars JAX 82%Green✓ 7–42
- Sun, 1 NovLas Vegas Raiders @ New York Jets NYJ 52%Red✕ 38–33
- Sun, 1 NovMinnesota Vikings @ Detroit Lions MIN 53%Red✕ 15–19
- Sun, 1 NovLos Angeles Chargers @ Los Angeles Rams LA 73%Green✓ 9–24
- Sun, 1 NovKansas City Chiefs @ Denver Broncos DEN 65%Green✓ 24–28
- Sun, 1 NovNew England Patriots @ Miami Dolphins NE 71%Green✓ 24–19
- Sun, 1 NovPhiladelphia Eagles @ Washington Commanders WAS 69%Green✓ 10–27
Probabilities come from ProbaLab's own model. They are for entertainment, not advice. How it works.