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// NFL · Week 6 · Sunday 18 October 2026

Pittsburgh Steelers vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers prediction

Kick-off 1:00pm ET ·

PITPittsburgh Steelers63% @ TBTampa Bay Buccaneers37%
Pick
Pittsburgh Steelers
Chance
63%
Light
Orange
Fair price
$1.58

Preview

Pittsburgh Steelers are our pick on the road against the Tampa Bay Buccaneers in Week 6. The model gives them a 63% chance of winning, which makes this game a lean (55–65%).

Pittsburgh Steelers have the higher team rating (1533 to 1433), built from results and winning margins.

Quarterbacks: we expect Aaron Rodgers to start for Pittsburgh Steelers (283 career starts); we expect Jalon Daniels to start for Tampa Bay Buccaneers, with only 2 career starts. We assume each team's most recent starter plays unless the injury report says otherwise.

Season so far: Pittsburgh Steelers are 3–2 and Tampa Bay Buccaneers are 1–4.

What could change the pick: late quarterback news. We re-check every 30 minutes until kick-off, then the pick is locked and stays on our public record, win or lose.

Full breakdown: team stats, players & form →

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Probabilities come from ProbaLab's own model. They are not betting advice. How it works.