Houston Texans vs Jacksonville Jaguars prediction

Preview

Jacksonville Jaguars are our pick against the Houston Texans at a neutral venue in Week 6. The model gives them a 57% chance of winning, which makes this game a lean (55–65%).

Jacksonville Jaguars have the higher team rating (1650 to 1522), built from results and winning margins.

Quarterbacks: we expect C.J. Stroud to start for Houston Texans (56 career starts); we expect Trevor Lawrence to start for Jacksonville Jaguars (85 career starts). We assume each team's most recent starter plays unless the injury report says otherwise.

Season so far: Houston Texans are 1–4 and Jacksonville Jaguars are 4–1.

What could change the pick: late quarterback news. We re-check every 30 minutes until kick-off, then the pick is locked and stays on our public record, win or lose.