// NFL · Week 6 · Sunday 18 October 2026
Buffalo Bills vs Las Vegas Raiders prediction
Kick-off 4:25pm ET ·
- Pick
- Buffalo Bills
- Chance
- 68%
- Light
- Green
- Fair price
- $1.47
- Value at
- $1.51 or better
Preview
Buffalo Bills are our pick on the road against the Las Vegas Raiders in Week 6. The model gives them a 68% chance of winning, which makes this game a 65%+ tip.
Buffalo Bills have the higher team rating (1656 to 1428), built from results and winning margins.
Quarterbacks: we expect Josh Allen to start for Buffalo Bills (144 career starts); we expect Kirk Cousins to start for Las Vegas Raiders (176 career starts). We assume each team's most recent starter plays unless the injury report says otherwise.
Season so far: Buffalo Bills are 4–1 and Las Vegas Raiders are 3–2.
What could change the pick: late quarterback news. We re-check every 30 minutes until kick-off, then the pick is locked and stays on our public record, win or lose.
This is one of our tips. Our fair price for Buffalo Bills is $1.47; we'd only call it value at $1.51 or better.
Full breakdown: team stats, players & form →
More NFL predictions that day
- Sun, 18 OctHouston Texans @ Jacksonville Jaguars JAX 57%Orange
- Sun, 18 OctPittsburgh Steelers @ Tampa Bay Buccaneers PIT 63%Orange
- Sun, 18 OctCarolina Panthers @ Philadelphia Eagles CAR 54%Red
- Sun, 18 OctNew Orleans Saints @ New York Giants NYG 61%Orange
- Sun, 18 OctNew York Jets @ New England Patriots NE 81%Green
- Sun, 18 OctTennessee Titans @ Indianapolis Colts IND 76%Green
- Sun, 18 OctBaltimore Ravens @ Cleveland Browns BAL 53%Red
- Sun, 18 OctChicago Bears @ Atlanta Falcons ATL 55%Orange
- Sun, 18 OctArizona Cardinals @ Los Angeles Rams LA 79%Green
- Sun, 18 OctLos Angeles Chargers @ Kansas City Chiefs KC 78%Green
- Sun, 18 OctDallas Cowboys @ Green Bay Packers GB 65%Orange
Probabilities come from ProbaLab's own model. They are not betting advice. How it works.