Chicago Bears vs Atlanta Falcons prediction

Preview

Atlanta Falcons are our pick at home against the Chicago Bears in Week 6. The model gives them a 55% chance of winning, which makes this game a lean (55–65%).

Chicago Bears have the higher team rating (1541 to 1474), but home field tip the pick to Atlanta Falcons.

Quarterbacks: we expect Tyson Bagent to start for Chicago Bears, with only 5 career starts; we expect Michael Penix Jr. to start for Atlanta Falcons, though he hasn't been their regular starter this season. We assume each team's most recent starter plays unless the injury report says otherwise.

Season so far: Chicago Bears are 3–2 and Atlanta Falcons are 2–3.

What could change the pick: late quarterback news. We re-check every 30 minutes until kick-off, then the pick is locked and stays on our public record, win or lose.