// NBA · Wednesday 28 October 2026
Washington Wizards vs Cleveland Cavaliers prediction
Start 7:00pm ET ·
- Pick
- Cleveland Cavaliers
- Chance
- 82%
- Light
- Super
- Confidence
- Very high
Full breakdown: team stats, players & form →
Result
Final: Washington Wizards 111 – 121 Cleveland Cavaliers. Our pick, Cleveland Cavaliers, won ✓.
Recent results
- Washington Wizards: 2 wins from the last 4, average margin −0.3 points (L 103–110 @ CHA, W 124–120 @ CHI, L 102–112 v TOR, W 128–116 v MIL).
- Cleveland Cavaliers: 2 wins from the last 3, average margin −0.7 points (W 127–125 v MIN, W 125–121 v BKN, L 106–114 @ PHI).
This is the first meeting between these teams this season. Results are taken from final scores, most recent first.
Our pre-game preview
Cleveland Cavaliers are our pick at home against the Washington Wizards. The model gives them a 82% chance of winning, which makes this game our strongest pick.
On the rosters we expect, Cleveland Cavaliers rate as the stronger team (94.3 to 90.1 on our team-strength rating), and that is the main reason for the pick.
Recent form: Washington Wizards have been losing by 9.0 points a game, while Cleveland Cavaliers have been losing by 2.3 points a game.
Injuries: Washington Wizards will be without Tre Johnson (23 min a game) and Justin Champagnie (19 min a game). Players listed as unsure are counted by how likely they are to play.
Season so far: Washington Wizards are 4–6 and Cleveland Cavaliers are 5–5.
This preview was written from the data we had before the game.
Game review
What happened
The Cavaliers beat the Wizards 121–111 at home. Evan Mobley led them with 24 points and 12 rebounds, making 5 of 6 threes, and Peyton Watson added 22. For the Wizards, AJ Dybantsa had 19 points.
What the model got right
The model gave the Cavaliers an 82% chance at home, mainly because of their higher team-strength rating (94.3 to 90.1), and they won by 10. Recent form pointed the same way: the Cavaliers had been losing by 2.3 points a game, the Wizards losing by 9.0. Justin Champagnie and Tre Johnson for the Wizards both missed the game, as the preview expected.
What didn't work
Not much went against the model in this one. AJ Dybantsa's 19 points for the Wizards weren't enough to change the result.
Why
The result fits what the model leaned on, the team-strength rating. One win doesn't prove the model right: at 82%, about 2 in 10 games like this go the other way, and every result stays on our record.
Written after the game. Scores and stats are checked against two independent sources.
More NBA predictions that day
- Wed, 28 OctPhiladelphia 76ers @ Indiana Pacers PHI 68%Green✓ 114–109
- Wed, 28 OctMiami Heat @ Atlanta Hawks ATL 64%Super✕ 129–117
- Wed, 28 OctCharlotte Hornets @ Detroit Pistons DET 65%Orange✓ 89–97
- Wed, 28 OctOrlando Magic @ Toronto Raptors TOR 64%Orange✓ 99–129
- Wed, 28 OctGolden State Warriors @ Minnesota Timberwolves MIN 63%Orange✕ 119–114
- Wed, 28 OctHouston Rockets @ Milwaukee Bucks HOU 60%Orange✓ 132–100
- Wed, 28 OctDenver Nuggets @ New Orleans Pelicans DEN 56%Orange✓ 104–91
- Wed, 28 OctNew York Knicks @ Chicago Bulls NY 71%Green✓ 133–127
- Wed, 28 OctSan Antonio Spurs @ Utah Jazz SA 76%Green✓ 117–111
- Wed, 28 OctOklahoma City Thunder @ Dallas Mavericks OKC 67%Super✕ 96–120
- Wed, 28 OctLos Angeles Lakers @ LA Clippers LAC 63%Super✕ 103–87
Probabilities come from ProbaLab's own model. They are for entertainment, not advice. How it works.