// NBA · Wednesday 28 October 2026
Golden State Warriors vs Minnesota Timberwolves prediction
Start 8:00pm ET ·
- Pick
- Minnesota Timberwolves
- Chance
- 63%
- Light
- Orange
- Confidence
- Medium
Full breakdown: team stats, players & form →
Result
Final: Golden State Warriors 119 – 114 Minnesota Timberwolves. Our pick, Minnesota Timberwolves, lost ✕.
Recent results
- Golden State Warriors: 1 win from the last 4, average margin −3.5 points (W 134–114 @ DEN, L 122–131 @ PHX, L 108–111 v MEM, L 105–127 @ LAL).
- Minnesota Timberwolves: 3 wins from the last 4, average margin +17.0 points (L 125–127 @ CLE, W 117–94 v TOR, W 115–93 @ ORL, W 131–106 @ MIA).
This is the first meeting between these teams this season. Results are taken from final scores, most recent first.
Our pre-game preview
Minnesota Timberwolves are our pick at home against the Golden State Warriors. The model gives them a 63% chance of winning, which makes this game a lean (55 to 65%).
Golden State Warriors rate slightly stronger on the rosters we expect (95.3 to 85.3 on our team-strength rating), but home court push the pick to Minnesota Timberwolves.
Recent form: Golden State Warriors have been losing by 3.5 points a game, while Minnesota Timberwolves have been winning by 4.5 points a game.
Injuries: Golden State Warriors will be without Gui Santos (24 min a game) and Minnesota Timberwolves will be without Anthony Edwards (34 min a game). Players listed as unsure are counted by how likely they are to play.
Season so far: Golden State Warriors are 7–3 and Minnesota Timberwolves are 7–3.
This preview was written from the data we had before the game.
Game review
What happened
The Warriors beat the Timberwolves 119–114 on the road. Stephen Curry led them with 44 points, 8 rebounds and 6 assists, making 6 of 16 threes, and Yaxel Lendeborg added 26. For the Timberwolves, Jonathan Kuminga had 20 points and 5 assists.
What the model got right
Gui Santos for the Warriors, and Anthony Edwards for the Timberwolves, both missed the game, as the preview expected. Our team-strength rating also had the Warriors as the stronger side (95.3 to 85.3).
What didn't work
The model made the Timberwolves a slight favourite at 63%, and that was wrong: the Warriors won by 5. The Warriors out-rebounded the Timberwolves 53–42.
Why
The Warriors already rated stronger on paper, so the pick leaned on home court, which is a thin margin. Even at 63%, about 4 in 10 games like this go the other way, and this was one of them. It stays on our record like every other result.
Written after the game. Scores and stats are checked against two independent sources.
More NBA predictions that day
- Wed, 28 OctWashington Wizards @ Cleveland Cavaliers CLE 82%Super✓ 111–121
- Wed, 28 OctPhiladelphia 76ers @ Indiana Pacers PHI 68%Green✓ 114–109
- Wed, 28 OctMiami Heat @ Atlanta Hawks ATL 64%Super✕ 129–117
- Wed, 28 OctCharlotte Hornets @ Detroit Pistons DET 65%Orange✓ 89–97
- Wed, 28 OctOrlando Magic @ Toronto Raptors TOR 64%Orange✓ 99–129
- Wed, 28 OctHouston Rockets @ Milwaukee Bucks HOU 60%Orange✓ 132–100
- Wed, 28 OctDenver Nuggets @ New Orleans Pelicans DEN 56%Orange✓ 104–91
- Wed, 28 OctNew York Knicks @ Chicago Bulls NY 71%Green✓ 133–127
- Wed, 28 OctSan Antonio Spurs @ Utah Jazz SA 76%Green✓ 117–111
- Wed, 28 OctOklahoma City Thunder @ Dallas Mavericks OKC 67%Super✕ 96–120
- Wed, 28 OctLos Angeles Lakers @ LA Clippers LAC 63%Super✕ 103–87
Probabilities come from ProbaLab's own model. They are for entertainment, not advice. How it works.