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// NBA · Wednesday 28 October 2026

Orlando Magic vs Toronto Raptors prediction

Start 7:30pm ET ·

Pick
Toronto Raptors
Chance
64%
Light
Orange
Confidence
Medium

Full breakdown: team stats, players & form →

Result

Final: Orlando Magic 99 – 129 Toronto Raptors. Our pick, Toronto Raptors, won ✓.

See our full record →

Recent results

This is the first meeting between these teams this season. Results are taken from final scores, most recent first.

Our pre-game preview

Toronto Raptors are our pick at home against the Orlando Magic. The model gives them a 64% chance of winning, which makes this game a lean (55 to 65%).

On the rosters we expect, Toronto Raptors rate as the stronger team (88.1 to 82.7 on our team-strength rating), and that is the main reason for the pick.

Recent form: Orlando Magic have been losing by 3.4 points a game, while Toronto Raptors have been winning by 5.3 points a game.

Injuries: Orlando Magic will be without Paolo Banchero (34 min a game) and Jalen Suggs (33 min a game) and Toronto Raptors will be without Kawhi Leonard (26 min a game). Players listed as unsure are counted by how likely they are to play.

Season so far: Orlando Magic are 2–7 and Toronto Raptors are 5–4.

This preview was written from the data we had before the game.

Game review

What happened

The Raptors beat the Magic 129–99 at home. Scottie Barnes led them with 28 points and 6 rebounds, and RJ Barrett added 25. For the Magic, Tristan da Silva had 20 points.

What the model got right

The model gave the Raptors a 64% chance at home, mainly because of their higher team-strength rating (88.1 to 82.7), and they won by 30. Recent form pointed the same way: the Raptors had been winning by 5.2 points a game, the Magic losing by 3.4. Paolo Banchero and Jalen Suggs for the Magic, and Kawhi Leonard for the Raptors, all missed the game, as the preview expected.

What didn't work

Not much went against the model in this one. Tristan da Silva's 20 points for the Magic weren't enough to change the result.

Why

The result fits what the model leaned on, the team-strength rating. One win doesn't prove the model right: at 64%, about 4 in 10 games like this go the other way, and every result stays on our record.

Written after the game. Scores and stats are checked against two independent sources.

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