// NBA · Wednesday 28 October 2026
San Antonio Spurs vs Utah Jazz prediction
Start 9:00pm ET ·
- Pick
- San Antonio Spurs
- Chance
- 76%
- Light
- Green
- Confidence
- High
Full breakdown: team stats, players & form →
Result
Final: San Antonio Spurs 117 – 111 Utah Jazz. Our pick, San Antonio Spurs, won ✓.
Recent results
- San Antonio Spurs: 2 wins from the last 4, average margin +6.8 points (W 130–103 v SAC, W 122–106 @ DAL, L 110–114 v HOU, L 104–116 v OKC).
- Utah Jazz: 1 win from the last 4, average margin −8.3 points (L 105–110 v MEM, L 123–132 v LAL, W 120–119 v NO, L 103–123 @ MEM).
This is the first meeting between these teams this season. Results are taken from final scores, most recent first.
Our pre-game preview
San Antonio Spurs are our pick on the road against the Utah Jazz. The model gives them a 76% chance of winning, which makes this game a 65%+ top pick.
On the rosters we expect, San Antonio Spurs rate as the stronger team (93.4 to 88.4 on our team-strength rating), and that is the main reason for the pick.
Recent form: San Antonio Spurs have been winning by 6.5 points a game, while Utah Jazz have been losing by 9.6 points a game.
Schedule: San Antonio Spurs are on the second night of a back-to-back, which the model takes into account.
Injuries: Utah Jazz will be without Lauri Markkanen (29 min a game) and Jaren Jackson Jr. (26 min a game). Players listed as unsure are counted by how likely they are to play.
Season so far: San Antonio Spurs are 8–2 and Utah Jazz are 1–8.
This preview was written from the data we had before the game.
Game review
What happened
The Spurs beat the Jazz 117–111 on the road. Victor Wembanyama led them with 36 points, 14 rebounds and 5 assists, and Devin Vassell added 21. For the Jazz, Keyonte George had 31 points, making 5 of 12 threes.
What the model got right
The model gave the Spurs a 76% chance on the road, mainly because of their higher team-strength rating (93.4 to 88.4), and they won by 6. Recent form pointed the same way: the Spurs had been winning by 6.5 points a game, the Jazz losing by 9.6. Lauri Markkanen and Jaren Jackson Jr. for the Jazz both missed the game, as the preview expected.
What didn't work
Not much went against the model in this one. Keyonte George's 31 points for the Jazz weren't enough to change the result.
Why
The result fits what the model leaned on, the team-strength rating. One win doesn't prove the model right: at 76%, about 2 in 10 games like this go the other way, and every result stays on our record.
Written after the game. Scores and stats are checked against two independent sources.
More NBA predictions that day
- Wed, 28 OctWashington Wizards @ Cleveland Cavaliers CLE 82%Super✓ 111–121
- Wed, 28 OctPhiladelphia 76ers @ Indiana Pacers PHI 68%Green✓ 114–109
- Wed, 28 OctMiami Heat @ Atlanta Hawks ATL 64%Super✕ 129–117
- Wed, 28 OctCharlotte Hornets @ Detroit Pistons DET 65%Orange✓ 89–97
- Wed, 28 OctOrlando Magic @ Toronto Raptors TOR 64%Orange✓ 99–129
- Wed, 28 OctGolden State Warriors @ Minnesota Timberwolves MIN 63%Orange✕ 119–114
- Wed, 28 OctHouston Rockets @ Milwaukee Bucks HOU 60%Orange✓ 132–100
- Wed, 28 OctDenver Nuggets @ New Orleans Pelicans DEN 56%Orange✓ 104–91
- Wed, 28 OctNew York Knicks @ Chicago Bulls NY 71%Green✓ 133–127
- Wed, 28 OctOklahoma City Thunder @ Dallas Mavericks OKC 67%Super✕ 96–120
- Wed, 28 OctLos Angeles Lakers @ LA Clippers LAC 63%Super✕ 103–87
Probabilities come from ProbaLab's own model. They are for entertainment, not advice. How it works.