ProbaLab Today
← Back to NBA predictions

// NBA · Friday 13 November 2026

Utah Jazz vs Houston Rockets prediction

Start 8:30pm ET ·

Pick
Houston Rockets
Chance
90%
Light
Green
Confidence
High

Full breakdown: team stats, players & form →

Result

Final: Utah Jazz 118 – 125 Houston Rockets. Our pick, Houston Rockets, won ✓.

See our full record →

Recent results

This is the first meeting between these teams this season. Results are taken from final scores, most recent first.

Our pre-game preview

Houston Rockets are our pick at home against the Utah Jazz. The model gives them a 90% chance of winning, which makes this game a 65%+ top pick.

On the rosters we expect, Houston Rockets rate as the stronger team (94.4 to 84.2 on our team-strength rating), and that is the main reason for the pick.

Recent form: Utah Jazz have been losing by 11.5 points a game, while Houston Rockets have been winning by 6.5 points a game.

Injuries: Utah Jazz will be without Lauri Markkanen (30 min a game), Jusuf Nurkic (29 min a game) and Jaren Jackson Jr. (22 min a game) and Houston Rockets will be without Steven Adams (23 min a game) and Clint Capela (15 min a game). Players listed as unsure are counted by how likely they are to play.

Season so far: Utah Jazz are 1–12 and Houston Rockets are 10–3.

This preview was written from the data we had before the game.

Game review

What happened

The Rockets beat the Jazz 125–118 at home. Alperen Sengun scored 43 with 12 rebounds. Kevin Durant added 22. Utah's Darryn Peterson had 28 and Keyonte George 27. Houston made 27 of 34 free throws to Utah's 21 of 26 and won the rebounds 47 to 41.

What the model got right

We picked Houston at 90%, and they won by seven. The model had Houston well ahead on team strength (94.4 to 84.2) and form (about 6.5 a game against about minus 11.5). Utah was without Lauri Markkanen and Jaren Jackson Jr.

What didn't work

Seven points was closer than a 90% chance suggests. Utah made 15 of 41 threes to Houston's 12 of 34 and stayed in it.

Why

The pick was right, though the margin was narrow for how strongly the model leaned. Sengun's big night was the difference.

Written after the game. Scores and stats are checked against two independent sources.

More NBA predictions that day

Probabilities come from ProbaLab's own model. They are for entertainment, not advice. How it works.