// NBA · Friday 13 November 2026
Utah Jazz vs Houston Rockets prediction
Start 8:30pm ET ·
- Pick
- Houston Rockets
- Chance
- 90%
- Light
- Green
- Confidence
- High
Full breakdown: team stats, players & form →
Result
Final: Utah Jazz 118 – 125 Houston Rockets. Our pick, Houston Rockets, won ✓.
Recent results
- Utah Jazz: 0 wins from the last 5, average margin −11.0 points (L 108–123 v ORL, L 109–115 v MIA, L 100–115 @ MIN, L 100–112 @ DAL, L 113–120 @ NO).
- Houston Rockets: 3 wins from the last 5, average margin +4.0 points (W 115–108 v GS, W 110–100 v DEN, L 99–102 @ PHX, L 107–117 v MIN, W 109–93 v BOS).
This is the first meeting between these teams this season. Results are taken from final scores, most recent first.
Our pre-game preview
Houston Rockets are our pick at home against the Utah Jazz. The model gives them a 90% chance of winning, which makes this game a 65%+ top pick.
On the rosters we expect, Houston Rockets rate as the stronger team (94.4 to 84.2 on our team-strength rating), and that is the main reason for the pick.
Recent form: Utah Jazz have been losing by 11.5 points a game, while Houston Rockets have been winning by 6.5 points a game.
Injuries: Utah Jazz will be without Lauri Markkanen (30 min a game), Jusuf Nurkic (29 min a game) and Jaren Jackson Jr. (22 min a game) and Houston Rockets will be without Steven Adams (23 min a game) and Clint Capela (15 min a game). Players listed as unsure are counted by how likely they are to play.
Season so far: Utah Jazz are 1–12 and Houston Rockets are 10–3.
This preview was written from the data we had before the game.
Game review
What happened
The Rockets beat the Jazz 125–118 at home. Alperen Sengun scored 43 with 12 rebounds. Kevin Durant added 22. Utah's Darryn Peterson had 28 and Keyonte George 27. Houston made 27 of 34 free throws to Utah's 21 of 26 and won the rebounds 47 to 41.
What the model got right
We picked Houston at 90%, and they won by seven. The model had Houston well ahead on team strength (94.4 to 84.2) and form (about 6.5 a game against about minus 11.5). Utah was without Lauri Markkanen and Jaren Jackson Jr.
What didn't work
Seven points was closer than a 90% chance suggests. Utah made 15 of 41 threes to Houston's 12 of 34 and stayed in it.
Why
The pick was right, though the margin was narrow for how strongly the model leaned. Sengun's big night was the difference.
Written after the game. Scores and stats are checked against two independent sources.
More NBA predictions that day
- Fri, 13 NovNew York Knicks @ Indiana Pacers NY 76%Green✕ 104–106
- Fri, 13 NovMilwaukee Bucks @ Orlando Magic ORL 73%Green✓ 99–107
- Fri, 13 NovMemphis Grizzlies @ New Orleans Pelicans MEM 57%Orange✓ 142–111
- Fri, 13 NovAtlanta Hawks @ Chicago Bulls ATL 70%Green✕ 117–125
- Fri, 13 NovCleveland Cavaliers @ Miami Heat CLE 54%Red✕ 121–133
- Fri, 13 NovGolden State Warriors @ San Antonio Spurs SA 84%Green✓ 85–123
- Fri, 13 NovPortland Trail Blazers @ Sacramento Kings POR 74%Green✓ 120–107
- Fri, 13 NovOklahoma City Thunder @ LA Clippers OKC 60%Orange✕ 112–113
Probabilities come from ProbaLab's own model. They are for entertainment, not advice. How it works.