// NBA · Friday 13 November 2026
Golden State Warriors vs San Antonio Spurs prediction
Start 9:30pm ET ·
- Pick
- San Antonio Spurs
- Chance
- 84%
- Light
- Green
- Confidence
- High
Full breakdown: team stats, players & form →
Result
Final: Golden State Warriors 85 – 123 San Antonio Spurs. Our pick, San Antonio Spurs, won ✓.
Recent results
- Golden State Warriors: 4 wins from the last 5, average margin +14.8 points (L 108–115 @ HOU, W 138–87 v NO, W 126–119 v ORL, W 120–100 v MIA, W 116–113 v PHX).
- San Antonio Spurs: 5 wins from the last 5, average margin +13.8 points (W 124–119 @ CHI, W 122–96 @ PHX, W 125–103 @ POR, W 124–109 @ SAC, W 112–111 v DAL).
This is the first meeting between these teams this season. Results are taken from final scores, most recent first.
Our pre-game preview
San Antonio Spurs are our pick at home against the Golden State Warriors. The model gives them a 84% chance of winning, which makes this game a 65%+ top pick.
On the rosters we expect, San Antonio Spurs rate as the stronger team (96.9 to 88.2 on our team-strength rating), and that is the main reason for the pick.
Recent form: Golden State Warriors have been winning by 5.5 points a game, while San Antonio Spurs have been winning by 11.0 points a game.
Injuries: Golden State Warriors will be without Jimmy Butler III (31 min a game), Moses Moody (28 min a game), Stephen Curry (27 min a game), Kristaps Porzingis (23 min a game) and Brandon Williams (17 min a game) and San Antonio Spurs will be without Tobias Harris (31 min a game). Players listed as unsure are counted by how likely they are to play.
Season so far: Golden State Warriors are 8–5 and San Antonio Spurs are 11–2.
This preview was written from the data we had before the game.
Game review
What happened
The Spurs beat the Warriors 123–85 at home. Golden State shot 31 of 93 from the field and was outrebounded 60 to 43. Stephon Castle scored 32 for San Antonio, and LJ Cryer led Golden State with 20.
What the model got right
We picked San Antonio at 84%, and they won by 38. The model had San Antonio ahead on team strength (96.9 to 88.2) and form (about 11 a game against about 5.5). Golden State was missing Stephen Curry, Jimmy Butler and Kristaps Porzingis.
What didn't work
The model expected a clear Spurs win, not one this lopsided. Golden State's shooting and the rebounding gap came out far worse than the numbers pointed to.
Why
The pick was right. A depleted Golden State side had a poor shooting night, and San Antonio's rebounding made it a blowout.
Written after the game. Scores and stats are checked against two independent sources.
More NBA predictions that day
- Fri, 13 NovNew York Knicks @ Indiana Pacers NY 76%Green✕ 104–106
- Fri, 13 NovMilwaukee Bucks @ Orlando Magic ORL 73%Green✓ 99–107
- Fri, 13 NovMemphis Grizzlies @ New Orleans Pelicans MEM 57%Orange✓ 142–111
- Fri, 13 NovAtlanta Hawks @ Chicago Bulls ATL 70%Green✕ 117–125
- Fri, 13 NovCleveland Cavaliers @ Miami Heat CLE 54%Red✕ 121–133
- Fri, 13 NovUtah Jazz @ Houston Rockets HOU 90%Green✓ 118–125
- Fri, 13 NovPortland Trail Blazers @ Sacramento Kings POR 74%Green✓ 120–107
- Fri, 13 NovOklahoma City Thunder @ LA Clippers OKC 60%Orange✕ 112–113
Probabilities come from ProbaLab's own model. They are for entertainment, not advice. How it works.