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// NBA · Friday 13 November 2026

Portland Trail Blazers vs Sacramento Kings prediction

Start 10:00pm ET ·

Pick
Portland Trail Blazers
Chance
74%
Light
Green
Confidence
High

Full breakdown: team stats, players & form →

Result

Final: Portland Trail Blazers 120 – 107 Sacramento Kings. Our pick, Portland Trail Blazers, won ✓.

See our full record →

Recent results

These teams have already met 1 time this season. Results are taken from final scores, most recent first.

Our pre-game preview

Portland Trail Blazers are our pick on the road against the Sacramento Kings. The model gives them a 74% chance of winning, which makes this game a 65%+ top pick.

On the rosters we expect, Portland Trail Blazers rate as the stronger team (93.2 to 83.8 on our team-strength rating), and that is the main reason for the pick.

Recent form: Portland Trail Blazers have been winning by 4.5 points a game, while Sacramento Kings have been losing by 11.2 points a game.

Injuries: Portland Trail Blazers will be without Ja Morant (27 min a game) and Shaedon Sharpe (25 min a game), Sacramento Kings will be without Maxime Raynaud (33 min a game) and Precious Achiuwa (questionable) may not play for Sacramento Kings. Players listed as unsure are counted by how likely they are to play.

Season so far: Portland Trail Blazers are 9–3 and Sacramento Kings are 1–11.

This preview was written from the data we had before the game.

Game review

What happened

The Trail Blazers beat the Kings 120–107 away from home. Deni Avdija scored 34 and Damian Lillard 29. Portland made 29 of 31 free throws. De'Andre Hunter led Sacramento with 24, and Domantas Sabonis had 21 points and 12 rebounds.

What the model got right

We picked Portland at 74%, and they won by 13. The model had Portland ahead on team strength (93.2 to 83.8) and in form (about 4.5 a game against about minus 11.2). Portland played without Ja Morant and Shaedon Sharpe, and Sacramento without Maxime Raynaud.

What didn't work

Portland shot well, 37 of 77 from the field, and made 17 of 42 threes. The model did not expect free throws to matter as much as they did.

Why

The pick was right. Portland's two high scorers and near-perfect free throw shooting carried it.

Written after the game. Scores and stats are checked against two independent sources.

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Probabilities come from ProbaLab's own model. They are for entertainment, not advice. How it works.