// NBA · Friday 13 November 2026
Memphis Grizzlies vs New Orleans Pelicans prediction
Start 8:00pm ET ·
- Pick
- Memphis Grizzlies
- Chance
- 57%
- Light
- Orange
- Confidence
- Medium
Full breakdown: team stats, players & form →
Result
Final: Memphis Grizzlies 142 – 111 New Orleans Pelicans. Our pick, Memphis Grizzlies, won ✓.
Recent results
- Memphis Grizzlies: 1 win from the last 5, average margin −5.0 points (L 118–123 v DEN, W 118–102 @ TOR, L 97–128 v OKC, L 103–107 v IND, L 134–135 v NO).
- New Orleans Pelicans: 1 win from the last 5, average margin −20.0 points (L 111–145 v BKN, L 87–138 @ GS, L 123–139 @ LAC, L 109–115 v MIN, W 120–113 v UTAH).
These teams have already met 1 time this season. Results are taken from final scores, most recent first.
Our pre-game preview
Memphis Grizzlies are our pick on the road against the New Orleans Pelicans. The model gives them a 57% chance of winning, which makes this game a lean (55 to 65%).
On the rosters we expect, Memphis Grizzlies rate as the stronger team (92.4 to 86.7 on our team-strength rating), and that is the main reason for the pick.
Recent form: Memphis Grizzlies have been losing by 1.9 points a game, while New Orleans Pelicans have been losing by 8.7 points a game.
Injuries: Memphis Grizzlies will be without Zach Edey (21 min a game) and Scotty Pippen Jr. (15 min a game) and New Orleans Pelicans will be without Trey Murphy III (33 min a game), Dejounte Murray (31 min a game), Yves Missi (21 min a game) and Trendon Watford (18 min a game). Players listed as unsure are counted by how likely they are to play.
Season so far: Memphis Grizzlies are 9–4 and New Orleans Pelicans are 4–10.
This preview was written from the data we had before the game.
Game review
What happened
The Grizzlies beat the Pelicans 142–111 away from home. Memphis made 44 of 91 shots and 18 of 45 threes, and New Orleans made 36 of 86 and 7 of 31 from three. Jerami Grant led Memphis with 22, and Saddiq Bey had 30 points and 10 rebounds for New Orleans.
What the model got right
We picked Memphis at 57%, and they won by 31. The model had Memphis ahead on team strength (92.4 to 86.7) and in recent form (about minus 1.9 a game against about minus 8.7). New Orleans was without Trey Murphy III and Dejounte Murray, and Memphis without Zach Edey.
What didn't work
It was a moderate lean, and the model did not suggest a margin like this. Memphis also made 36 of 41 free throws.
Why
The pick was right, but the result was far bigger than the numbers suggested. Memphis shot well from three while New Orleans did not.
Written after the game. Scores and stats are checked against two independent sources.
More NBA predictions that day
- Fri, 13 NovMilwaukee Bucks @ Orlando Magic ORL 73%Green✓ 99–107
- Fri, 13 NovNew York Knicks @ Indiana Pacers NY 76%Green✕ 104–106
- Fri, 13 NovAtlanta Hawks @ Chicago Bulls ATL 70%Green✕ 117–125
- Fri, 13 NovCleveland Cavaliers @ Miami Heat CLE 54%Red✕ 121–133
- Fri, 13 NovUtah Jazz @ Houston Rockets HOU 90%Green✓ 118–125
- Fri, 13 NovGolden State Warriors @ San Antonio Spurs SA 84%Green✓ 85–123
- Fri, 13 NovPortland Trail Blazers @ Sacramento Kings POR 74%Green✓ 120–107
- Fri, 13 NovOklahoma City Thunder @ LA Clippers OKC 60%Orange✕ 112–113
Probabilities come from ProbaLab's own model. They are for entertainment, not advice. How it works.