New York Giants vs Houston Texans prediction

Preview

Houston Texans are our pick at home against the New York Giants in Week 7. The model gives them a 68% chance of winning, which makes this game a 65%+ tip.

Houston Texans have the higher team rating (1522 to 1469), built from results and winning margins, and they also have home field.

Quarterbacks: we expect Jameis Winston to start for New York Giants, though he hasn't been their regular starter this season; we expect C.J. Stroud to start for Houston Texans (56 career starts). We assume each team's most recent starter plays unless the injury report says otherwise.

Season so far: New York Giants are 3–1–1 and Houston Texans are 1–4.

What could change the pick: late quarterback news. We re-check every 30 minutes until kick-off, then the pick is locked and stays on our public record, win or lose.

This is one of our tips. Our fair price for Houston Texans is $1.46; we'd only call it value at $1.51 or better.