Miami Dolphins vs New York Jets prediction

Preview

New York Jets are our pick at home against the Miami Dolphins in Week 7. The model gives them a 56% chance of winning, which makes this game a lean (55–65%).

New York Jets have the higher team rating (1382 to 1354), built from results and winning margins, and they also have home field.

Schedule: Miami Dolphins are coming off a bye.

Quarterbacks: we expect Malik Willis to start for Miami Dolphins (11 career starts); we expect Geno Smith to start for New York Jets (104 career starts). We assume each team's most recent starter plays unless the injury report says otherwise.

Season so far: Miami Dolphins are 0–5 and New York Jets are 2–3.

What could change the pick: late quarterback news. We re-check every 30 minutes until kick-off, then the pick is locked and stays on our public record, win or lose.