Indianapolis Colts vs Minnesota Vikings prediction

Preview

Minnesota Vikings are our pick at home against the Indianapolis Colts in Week 7. The model gives them a 80% chance of winning, which makes this game a 65%+ tip.

Minnesota Vikings have the higher team rating (1646 to 1452), built from results and winning margins, and they also have home field.

Schedule: Minnesota Vikings are coming off a bye.

Quarterbacks: we expect Daniel Jones to start for Indianapolis Colts (89 career starts); we expect Kyler Murray to start for Minnesota Vikings (91 career starts). We assume each team's most recent starter plays unless the injury report says otherwise.

Season so far: Indianapolis Colts are 2–3 and Minnesota Vikings are 5–0.

What could change the pick: late quarterback news. We re-check every 30 minutes until kick-off, then the pick is locked and stays on our public record, win or lose.

This is one of our tips. Our fair price for Minnesota Vikings is $1.25; we'd only call it value at $1.29 or better.