// NFL · Week 7 · Sunday 25 October 2026
Kansas City Chiefs vs Seattle Seahawks prediction
Kick-off 8:20pm ET ·
- Pick
- Seattle Seahawks
- Chance
- 57%
- Light
- Orange
- Confidence
- Medium
Full breakdown: team stats, players & form →
Result
Final: Kansas City Chiefs 3 – 20 Seattle Seahawks. Our pick, Seattle Seahawks, won ✓.
Our pre-game preview
Seattle Seahawks are our pick at home against the Kansas City Chiefs in Week 7. The model gives them a 57% chance of winning, which makes this game a lean (55 to 65%).
Seattle Seahawks have the higher team rating (1664 to 1590), built from results and winning margins, and they also have home field.
Quarterbacks: we expect Patrick Mahomes to start for Kansas City Chiefs (152 career starts); Seattle Seahawks' starter Drew Lock is listed out, so we have assumed a backup starts. We assume each team's most recent starter plays unless the injury report says otherwise.
Season so far: Kansas City Chiefs are 5–2 and Seattle Seahawks are 4–4.
This preview was written from the data we had before the game.
Game review
What happened
The Seahawks beat the Chiefs 20–3 at home. Sam Darnold completed 20 of 28 passes for 257 yards with 1 touchdown and 1 interception, and Emanuel Wilson ran for 100 yards on 24 carries and scored once. For the Chiefs, Patrick Mahomes completed 19 of 33 passes for 165 yards with 1 interception.
What the model got right
The model gave the Seahawks a 57% chance at home, mainly because of their higher team rating (1664 to 1590), plus home field, and they won by 17. Patrick Mahomes started for the Chiefs, as the preview expected.
What didn't work
The preview expected a different quarterback to start for the Seahawks, but Sam Darnold started. The Chiefs never got close enough to make it a contest.
Why
The result fits what the model leaned on, the team rating. One win doesn't prove the model right: at 57%, about 4 in 10 games like this go the other way, and every result stays on our record.
Written after the game. Scores and stats are checked against two independent sources.
More NFL predictions that day
- Sun, 25 OctPittsburgh Steelers @ New Orleans Saints PIT 71%Green✓ 16–10
- Sun, 25 OctCleveland Browns @ Tennessee Titans CLE 60%Orange✓ 27–24
- Sun, 25 OctCincinnati Bengals @ Baltimore Ravens BAL 51%Red✕ 35–13
- Sun, 25 OctSan Francisco 49ers @ Atlanta Falcons SF 69%Green✕ 20–29
- Sun, 25 OctNew York Giants @ Houston Texans HOU 74%Green✕ 27–21
- Sun, 25 OctMiami Dolphins @ New York Jets NYJ 56%Orange✕ 28–25
- Sun, 25 OctIndianapolis Colts @ Minnesota Vikings MIN 83%Green✓ 10–16
- Sun, 25 OctTampa Bay Buccaneers @ Carolina Panthers CAR 77%Green✕ 43–13
- Sun, 25 OctDenver Broncos @ Arizona Cardinals DEN 71%Green✓ 30–16
- Sun, 25 OctLos Angeles Rams @ Las Vegas Raiders LA 59%Orange✓ 35–21
- Sun, 25 OctGreen Bay Packers @ Detroit Lions DET 62%Orange✓ 17–20
Probabilities come from ProbaLab's own model. They are for entertainment, not advice. How it works.