// NBA · Wednesday 4 November 2026
Utah Jazz vs New Orleans Pelicans prediction
Start 8:00pm ET ·
- Pick
- New Orleans Pelicans
- Chance
- 73%
- Light
- Green
- Confidence
- High
Full breakdown: team stats, players & form →
Result
Final: Utah Jazz 113 – 120 New Orleans Pelicans. Our pick, New Orleans Pelicans, won ✓.
Recent results
- Utah Jazz: 0 wins from the last 5, average margin −12.8 points (L 97–119 @ SA, L 90–112 v POR, L 111–117 v SA, L 105–110 v MEM, L 123–132 v LAL).
- New Orleans Pelicans: 3 wins from the last 5, average margin +3.2 points (W 135–134 @ MEM, W 121–99 v ATL, W 132–120 v SAC, L 91–104 v DEN, L 135–141 @ DEN).
These teams have already met 1 time this season. Results are taken from final scores, most recent first.
Our pre-game preview
New Orleans Pelicans are our pick at home against the Utah Jazz. The model gives them a 73% chance of winning, which makes this game a 65%+ top pick.
On the rosters we expect, New Orleans Pelicans rate as the stronger team (96.8 to 90.3 on our team-strength rating), and that is the main reason for the pick.
Recent form: Utah Jazz have been losing by 11.9 points a game, while New Orleans Pelicans have been losing by 0.3 points a game.
Injuries: Utah Jazz will be without Jusuf Nurkic (29 min a game) and Jaren Jackson Jr. (26 min a game), New Orleans Pelicans will be without Trey Murphy III (33 min a game) and Yves Missi (20 min a game) and Jordan Poole (questionable) may not play for New Orleans Pelicans. Players listed as unsure are counted by how likely they are to play.
Season so far: Utah Jazz are 1–8 and New Orleans Pelicans are 4–5.
This preview was written from the data we had before the game.
Game review
What happened
The Pelicans beat the Jazz 120–113 at home. Zion Williamson led them with 23 points, and Saddiq Bey added 22. For the Jazz, Keyonte George had 39 points and 9 assists.
What the model got right
The model gave the Pelicans a 73% chance at home, mainly because of their higher team-strength rating (96.8 to 90.3), and they won by 7. Recent form pointed the same way: the Pelicans had been losing by 0.2 points a game, the Jazz losing by 11.9. Jaren Jackson Jr. and Jusuf Nurkic for the Jazz, and Trey Murphy III and Yves Missi for the Pelicans, all missed the game, as the preview expected.
What didn't work
Not much went against the model in this one. The Jazz made more threes (11 to 5) and still lost.
Why
The result fits what the model leaned on, the team-strength rating. One win doesn't prove the model right: at 73%, about 3 in 10 games like this go the other way, and every result stays on our record.
Written after the game. Scores and stats are checked against two independent sources.
More NBA predictions that day
- Wed, 4 NovAtlanta Hawks @ Washington Wizards ATL 55%Orange✓ 120–105
- Wed, 4 NovPhiladelphia 76ers @ Detroit Pistons DET 62%Super✕ 112–106
- Wed, 4 NovMilwaukee Bucks @ Boston Celtics BOS 77%Green✓ 102–109
- Wed, 4 NovCharlotte Hornets @ Brooklyn Nets CHA 61%Orange✕ 104–114
- Wed, 4 NovChicago Bulls @ New York Knicks NY 83%Green✓ 105–135
- Wed, 4 NovCleveland Cavaliers @ Oklahoma City Thunder OKC 59%Orange✓ 116–124
- Wed, 4 NovIndiana Pacers @ Memphis Grizzlies MEM 74%Super✕ 107–103
- Wed, 4 NovMinnesota Timberwolves @ Houston Rockets HOU 70%Green✕ 117–107
- Wed, 4 NovPortland Trail Blazers @ Phoenix Suns POR 55%Orange✓ 132–119
- Wed, 4 NovToronto Raptors @ Denver Nuggets DEN 64%Orange✓ 109–128
- Wed, 4 NovDallas Mavericks @ San Antonio Spurs SA 84%Green✓ 111–112
- Wed, 4 NovLos Angeles Lakers @ Sacramento Kings LAL 78%Green✓ 116–103
Probabilities come from ProbaLab's own model. They are for entertainment, not advice. How it works.