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// NBA · Wednesday 4 November 2026

Indiana Pacers vs Memphis Grizzlies prediction

Start 8:00pm ET ·

Pick
Memphis Grizzlies
Chance
74%
Light
Super
Confidence
Very high

Full breakdown: team stats, players & form →

Result

Final: Indiana Pacers 107 – 103 Memphis Grizzlies. Our pick, Memphis Grizzlies, lost ✕.

See our full record →

Recent results

This is the first meeting between these teams this season. Results are taken from final scores, most recent first.

Our pre-game preview

Memphis Grizzlies are our pick at home against the Indiana Pacers. The model gives them a 74% chance of winning, which makes this game our strongest pick.

On the rosters we expect, Memphis Grizzlies rate as the stronger team (96.8 to 91.7 on our team-strength rating), and that is the main reason for the pick.

Recent form: Indiana Pacers have been losing by 5.3 points a game, while Memphis Grizzlies have been winning by 0.5 points a game.

Injuries: Indiana Pacers will be without Tyrese Haliburton (33 min a game), Kelly Oubre Jr. (23 min a game), Johnny Furphy (21 min a game) and T.J. McConnell (17 min a game) and Memphis Grizzlies will be without Scotty Pippen Jr. (16 min a game). Players listed as unsure are counted by how likely they are to play.

Season so far: Indiana Pacers are 3–7 and Memphis Grizzlies are 6–3.

This preview was written from the data we had before the game.

Game review

What happened

The Pacers beat the Grizzlies 107–103 on the road. Andrew Nembhard led them with 22 points, and Pascal Siakam added 20. For the Grizzlies, Cedric Coward had 23 points and 9 rebounds.

What the model got right

Tyrese Haliburton, Kelly Oubre Jr., Johnny Furphy and T.J. McConnell for the Pacers, and Scotty Pippen Jr. for the Grizzlies, all missed the game, as the preview expected. Beyond that, not much went the model's way on the night.

What didn't work

The model made the Grizzlies the favourite at 74%, and that was wrong: the Pacers won by 4. The Pacers made 15 of 17 free throws to 9 of 15 for the Grizzlies. Our team-strength rating had the Grizzlies ahead (96.8 to 91.7), and that didn't hold up.

Why

The pick rested mostly on our team-strength rating, which has no way to see a night like this one coming. Even at 74%, about 3 in 10 games like this go the other way, and this was one of them. It stays on our record like every other result.

Written after the game. Scores and stats are checked against two independent sources.

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Probabilities come from ProbaLab's own model. They are for entertainment, not advice. How it works.