// NBA · Wednesday 4 November 2026
Atlanta Hawks vs Washington Wizards prediction
Start 7:00pm ET ·
- Pick
- Atlanta Hawks
- Chance
- 55%
- Light
- Orange
- Confidence
- Medium
Full breakdown: team stats, players & form →
Result
Final: Atlanta Hawks 120 – 105 Washington Wizards. Our pick, Atlanta Hawks, won ✓.
Recent results
- Atlanta Hawks: 2 wins from the last 5, average margin −7.4 points (W 108–104 @ IND, L 99–121 @ NO, W 114–111 v CLE, L 117–129 v MIA, L 110–120 @ HOU).
- Washington Wizards: 3 wins from the last 5, average margin +2.4 points (W 103–94 @ ORL, W 95–79 v CHA, L 111–121 @ CLE, L 103–110 @ CHA, W 124–120 @ CHI).
This is the first meeting between these teams this season. Results are taken from final scores, most recent first.
Our pre-game preview
Atlanta Hawks are our pick on the road against the Washington Wizards. The model gives them a 55% chance of winning, which makes this game a lean (55 to 65%).
Washington Wizards rate slightly stronger on the rosters we expect (93.7 to 83.3 on our team-strength rating), but rest and form push the pick to Atlanta Hawks.
Recent form: Atlanta Hawks have been losing by 0.7 points a game, while Washington Wizards have been losing by 4.7 points a game.
Injuries: Atlanta Hawks will be without Jalen Johnson (33 min a game) and Jock Landale (15 min a game) and Washington Wizards will be without Jamir Watkins (24 min a game), Justin Champagnie (19 min a game) and Tristan Vukcevic (17 min a game). Players listed as unsure are counted by how likely they are to play.
Season so far: Atlanta Hawks are 7–4 and Washington Wizards are 4–6.
This preview was written from the data we had before the game.
Game review
What happened
The Hawks beat the Wizards 120–105 on the road. Nickeil Alexander-Walker led them with 26 points, making 6 of 14 threes, and CJ McCollum added 15. For the Wizards, Anthony Davis had 26 points and 10 rebounds.
What the model got right
The model gave the Hawks a 55% chance on the road, mainly because of rest and form, even though the Wizards rated clearly stronger (93.7 to 83.3), and they won by 15. Recent form pointed the same way: the Hawks had been losing by 0.7 points a game, the Wizards losing by 4.7. Jalen Johnson and Jock Landale for the Hawks, and Justin Champagnie, Jamir Watkins and Tristan Vukcevic for the Wizards, all missed the game, as the preview expected.
What didn't work
Our rating had the Wizards clearly stronger on paper, and on the night that didn't decide it. Anthony Davis's 26 points for the Wizards weren't enough to change the result.
Why
The result fits what the model leaned on, rest and form. One win doesn't prove the model right: at 55%, about 4 in 10 games like this go the other way, and every result stays on our record.
Written after the game. Scores and stats are checked against two independent sources.
More NBA predictions that day
- Wed, 4 NovPhiladelphia 76ers @ Detroit Pistons DET 62%Super✕ 112–106
- Wed, 4 NovMilwaukee Bucks @ Boston Celtics BOS 77%Green✓ 102–109
- Wed, 4 NovChicago Bulls @ New York Knicks NY 83%Green✓ 105–135
- Wed, 4 NovCharlotte Hornets @ Brooklyn Nets CHA 61%Orange✕ 104–114
- Wed, 4 NovUtah Jazz @ New Orleans Pelicans NO 73%Green✓ 113–120
- Wed, 4 NovIndiana Pacers @ Memphis Grizzlies MEM 74%Super✕ 107–103
- Wed, 4 NovCleveland Cavaliers @ Oklahoma City Thunder OKC 59%Orange✓ 116–124
- Wed, 4 NovMinnesota Timberwolves @ Houston Rockets HOU 70%Green✕ 117–107
- Wed, 4 NovPortland Trail Blazers @ Phoenix Suns POR 55%Orange✓ 132–119
- Wed, 4 NovToronto Raptors @ Denver Nuggets DEN 64%Orange✓ 109–128
- Wed, 4 NovDallas Mavericks @ San Antonio Spurs SA 84%Green✓ 111–112
- Wed, 4 NovLos Angeles Lakers @ Sacramento Kings LAL 78%Green✓ 116–103
Probabilities come from ProbaLab's own model. They are for entertainment, not advice. How it works.