// NBA · Wednesday 4 November 2026
Los Angeles Lakers vs Sacramento Kings prediction
Start 10:00pm ET ·
- Pick
- Los Angeles Lakers
- Chance
- 78%
- Light
- Green
- Confidence
- High
Full breakdown: team stats, players & form →
Result
Final: Los Angeles Lakers 116 – 103 Sacramento Kings. Our pick, Los Angeles Lakers, won ✓.
Recent results
- Los Angeles Lakers: 3 wins from the last 5, average margin +3.8 points (W 138–117 v MIA, W 131–125 v TOR, L 95–112 @ GS, W 103–87 @ LAC, L 129–136 v POR).
- Sacramento Kings: 1 win from the last 5, average margin −13.2 points (W 115–100 @ DAL, L 105–136 @ MEM, L 120–132 @ NO, L 103–130 @ SA, L 112–123 v MEM).
This is the first meeting between these teams this season. Results are taken from final scores, most recent first.
Our pre-game preview
Los Angeles Lakers are our pick on the road against the Sacramento Kings. The model gives them a 78% chance of winning, which makes this game a 65%+ top pick.
On the rosters we expect, Los Angeles Lakers rate as the stronger team (99.4 to 88.2 on our team-strength rating), and that is the main reason for the pick.
Recent form: Los Angeles Lakers have been winning by 3.4 points a game, while Sacramento Kings have been losing by 10.6 points a game.
Injuries: Sacramento Kings will be without Maxime Raynaud (33 min a game) and Keegan Murray (27 min a game). Players listed as unsure are counted by how likely they are to play.
Season so far: Los Angeles Lakers are 8–2 and Sacramento Kings are 1–8.
This preview was written from the data we had before the game.
Game review
What happened
The Lakers beat the Kings 116–103 on the road. Luka Doncic led them with 40 points, 9 rebounds and 7 assists, making 6 of 13 threes, and Austin Reaves added 21. For the Kings, Darius Acuff Jr. had 22 points and 12 assists.
What the model got right
The model gave the Lakers a 78% chance on the road, mainly because of their higher team-strength rating (99.4 to 88.2), and they won by 13. Recent form pointed the same way: the Lakers had been winning by 3.4 points a game, the Kings losing by 10.6. Keegan Murray and Maxime Raynaud for the Kings both missed the game, as the preview expected.
What didn't work
Not much went against the model in this one. The Kings won the rebounding battle 46–38 and still lost.
Why
The result fits what the model leaned on, the team-strength rating. One win doesn't prove the model right: at 78%, about 2 in 10 games like this go the other way, and every result stays on our record.
Written after the game. Scores and stats are checked against two independent sources.
More NBA predictions that day
- Wed, 4 NovAtlanta Hawks @ Washington Wizards ATL 55%Orange✓ 120–105
- Wed, 4 NovPhiladelphia 76ers @ Detroit Pistons DET 62%Super✕ 112–106
- Wed, 4 NovMilwaukee Bucks @ Boston Celtics BOS 77%Green✓ 102–109
- Wed, 4 NovCharlotte Hornets @ Brooklyn Nets CHA 61%Orange✕ 104–114
- Wed, 4 NovChicago Bulls @ New York Knicks NY 83%Green✓ 105–135
- Wed, 4 NovUtah Jazz @ New Orleans Pelicans NO 73%Green✓ 113–120
- Wed, 4 NovCleveland Cavaliers @ Oklahoma City Thunder OKC 59%Orange✓ 116–124
- Wed, 4 NovIndiana Pacers @ Memphis Grizzlies MEM 74%Super✕ 107–103
- Wed, 4 NovMinnesota Timberwolves @ Houston Rockets HOU 70%Green✕ 117–107
- Wed, 4 NovPortland Trail Blazers @ Phoenix Suns POR 55%Orange✓ 132–119
- Wed, 4 NovToronto Raptors @ Denver Nuggets DEN 64%Orange✓ 109–128
- Wed, 4 NovDallas Mavericks @ San Antonio Spurs SA 84%Green✓ 111–112
Probabilities come from ProbaLab's own model. They are for entertainment, not advice. How it works.