// NBA · Thursday 12 November 2026
Toronto Raptors vs Philadelphia 76ers prediction
Start 7:00pm ET ·
- Pick
- Philadelphia 76ers
- Chance
- 68%
- Light
- Green
- Confidence
- High
Full breakdown: team stats, players & form →
Result
Final: Toronto Raptors 112 – 123 Philadelphia 76ers. Our pick, Philadelphia 76ers, won ✓.
Recent results
- Toronto Raptors: 2 wins from the last 5, average margin −3.8 points (L 93–98 v BOS, L 102–118 v MEM, W 121–107 @ MIL, L 109–128 @ DEN, W 125–118 @ LAC).
- Philadelphia 76ers: 3 wins from the last 5, average margin −3.0 points (L 101–123 v BOS, W 127–121 @ CHI, L 95–119 @ CLE, W 112–106 @ DET, W 126–107 v CHI).
This is the first meeting between these teams this season. Results are taken from final scores, most recent first.
Our pre-game preview
Philadelphia 76ers are our pick at home against the Toronto Raptors. The model gives them a 68% chance of winning, which makes this game a 65%+ top pick.
On the rosters we expect, Philadelphia 76ers rate as the stronger team (89.7 to 84.4 on our team-strength rating), and that is the main reason for the pick.
Recent form: Toronto Raptors have been winning by 1.5 points a game, while Philadelphia 76ers have been losing by 1.8 points a game.
Schedule: Toronto Raptors are on the second night of a back-to-back, which the model takes into account.
Injuries: Toronto Raptors will be without Scottie Barnes (34 min a game) and Kawhi Leonard (28 min a game) and Philadelphia 76ers will be without LeBron James (32 min a game) and Dominick Barlow (17 min a game). Players listed as unsure are counted by how likely they are to play.
Season so far: Toronto Raptors are 5–7 and Philadelphia 76ers are 10–3.
This preview was written from the data we had before the game.
Game review
What happened
The 76ers beat the Raptors 123–112 at home. Tyrese Maxey scored 27 with 8 assists, and Joel Embiid added 20. RJ Barrett had 31 points and 14 rebounds for Toronto. Philadelphia made 46 of 88 shots against 40 of 84 for Toronto, and won the rebounds 41 to 36.
What the model got right
We picked Philadelphia at 68%, and that held up. The model rated Philadelphia stronger (89.7 to 84.4) and the home side had an extra day of rest. Scottie Barnes and Kawhi Leonard were both out for Toronto, which fits the lean.
What didn't work
Not much. Philadelphia was without LeBron James, Adem Bona, Dominick Barlow and Ariel Hukporti, and the model still liked them, so the depth held. Immanuel Quickley added 26 points for Toronto.
Why
A 68% pick should come in about two times out of three, and this was one of those. The shooting gap in Philadelphia's favour was the clearest difference.
Written after the game. Scores and stats are checked against two independent sources.
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Probabilities come from ProbaLab's own model. They are for entertainment, not advice. How it works.