// NBA · Thursday 12 November 2026
Detroit Pistons vs Washington Wizards prediction
Start 7:00pm ET ·
- Pick
- Detroit Pistons
- Chance
- 82%
- Light
- Green
- Confidence
- High
Full breakdown: team stats, players & form →
Result
Final: Detroit Pistons 144 – 140 Washington Wizards. Our pick, Detroit Pistons, won ✓.
Recent results
- Detroit Pistons: 3 wins from the last 5, average margin +9.8 points (W 122–111 v WSH, L 116–121 v LAL, L 106–112 v PHI, W 124–91 @ CHA, W 110–94 @ BKN).
- Washington Wizards: 0 wins from the last 5, average margin −17.0 points (L 101–114 @ IND, L 111–122 @ DET, L 75–114 @ OKC, L 132–139 @ ATL, L 105–120 v ATL).
These teams have already met 1 time this season. Results are taken from final scores, most recent first.
Our pre-game preview
Detroit Pistons are our pick on the road against the Washington Wizards. The model gives them a 82% chance of winning, which makes this game a 65%+ top pick.
On the rosters we expect, the teams rate almost level (90.2 to 89.8 on our team-strength rating), so rest and form decide the pick.
Recent form: Detroit Pistons have been winning by 6.4 points a game, while Washington Wizards have been losing by 8.8 points a game.
Schedule: Washington Wizards are on the second night of a back-to-back, which the model takes into account.
Injuries: Detroit Pistons will be without Jalen Duren (19 min a game) and Washington Wizards will be without Jamir Watkins (24 min a game), Tristan Vukcevic (17 min a game) and Justin Champagnie (15 min a game). Players listed as unsure are counted by how likely they are to play.
Season so far: Detroit Pistons are 8–4 and Washington Wizards are 4–9.
This preview was written from the data we had before the game.
Game review
What happened
The Pistons beat the Wizards 144–140. Cade Cunningham scored 52 with 11 assists, and Trae Young answered with 37 points and 14 assists for Washington. Anthony Davis had 30 points and 15 rebounds, and Alex Sarr scored 30. Detroit made 49 of 99 shots, Washington 50 of 102, and Detroit made 33 of 39 free throws.
What the model got right
We picked Detroit at 82% and they won. The model had Detroit ahead on recent form (about 6 a game against about −9) and on rest (three days against one). Jalen Duren and Isaiah Joe were out for Detroit, but Cunningham carried the load.
What didn't work
The size of the pick. The two teams rated almost the same on team strength (90.2 to 89.8), and Washington matched Detroit's shooting and won the rebounds 50 to 47. Four points is a thin margin for an 82% pick.
Why
The pick came through, but this was far closer than the number suggests. Washington was without Justin Champagnie, Jamir Watkins and Tristan Vukcevic and still scored 140, so a lot went right for Detroit, including 33 of 39 at the line.
Written after the game. Scores and stats are checked against two independent sources.
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Probabilities come from ProbaLab's own model. They are for entertainment, not advice. How it works.