// NBA · Monday 2 November 2026
Portland Trail Blazers vs Denver Nuggets prediction
Start 9:00pm ET ·
- Pick
- Denver Nuggets
- Chance
- 66%
- Light
- Super
- Confidence
- Very high
Full breakdown: team stats, players & form →
Result
Final: Portland Trail Blazers 118 – 110 Denver Nuggets. Our pick, Denver Nuggets, lost ✕.
Recent results
- Portland Trail Blazers: 4 wins from the last 5, average margin +11.4 points (W 112–90 @ UTAH, L 103–124 v MEM, W 136–129 @ LAL, W 128–120 @ SAC, W 124–83 v PHX).
- Denver Nuggets: 3 wins from the last 5, average margin −1.2 points (W 127–120 @ PHX, W 104–91 @ NO, L 114–134 v GS, W 141–135 v NO, L 84–96 @ OKC).
This is the first meeting between these teams this season. Results are taken from final scores, most recent first.
Our pre-game preview
Denver Nuggets are our pick at home against the Portland Trail Blazers. The model gives them a 66% chance of winning, which makes this game our strongest pick.
On the rosters we expect, Denver Nuggets rate as the stronger team (97.8 to 92.7 on our team-strength rating), and that is the main reason for the pick.
Recent form: Portland Trail Blazers have been winning by 5.2 points a game, while Denver Nuggets have been winning by 1.6 points a game.
Injuries: Portland Trail Blazers will be without Ja Morant (26 min a game) and Shaedon Sharpe (25 min a game) and Denver Nuggets will be without Spencer Jones (20 min a game). Players listed as unsure are counted by how likely they are to play.
Season so far: Portland Trail Blazers are 6–3 and Denver Nuggets are 5–3.
This preview was written from the data we had before the game.
Game review
What happened
The Trail Blazers beat the Nuggets 118–110 on the road. Deni Avdija led them with 28 points and 5 assists, and Damian Lillard added 20. For the Nuggets, Jamal Murray had 35 points, 5 rebounds and 6 assists.
What the model got right
Ja Morant and Shaedon Sharpe for the Trail Blazers, and Spencer Jones for the Nuggets, all missed the game, as the preview expected. The preview did show the Trail Blazers as the team in better recent form (the Nuggets had been winning by 1.6 points a game, the Trail Blazers winning by 5.2), and they won.
What didn't work
The model made the Nuggets the favourite at 66%, and that was wrong: the Trail Blazers won by 8. The Trail Blazers made 15 of 41 from three; the Nuggets made 9 of 26. Our team-strength rating had the Nuggets ahead (97.8 to 92.7), and that didn't hold up.
Why
The pick rested mostly on our team-strength rating, which has no way to see a night like this one coming. Even at 66%, about 3 in 10 games like this go the other way, and this was one of them. It stays on our record like every other result.
Written after the game. Scores and stats are checked against two independent sources.
More NBA predictions that day
- Mon, 2 NovOklahoma City Thunder @ Cleveland Cavaliers CLE 62%Orange✕ 117–112
- Mon, 2 NovWashington Wizards @ Orlando Magic ORL 61%Orange✕ 103–94
- Mon, 2 NovDetroit Pistons @ Charlotte Hornets DET 64%Orange✓ 124–91
- Mon, 2 NovBrooklyn Nets @ New York Knicks NY 91%Green✓ 90–103
- Mon, 2 NovAtlanta Hawks @ Indiana Pacers ATL 74%Green✓ 108–104
- Mon, 2 NovChicago Bulls @ Philadelphia 76ers PHI 78%Green✓ 107–126
- Mon, 2 NovNew Orleans Pelicans @ Memphis Grizzlies MEM 67%Green✕ 135–134
- Mon, 2 NovMilwaukee Bucks @ Minnesota Timberwolves MIN 76%Green✓ 100–112
- Mon, 2 NovSacramento Kings @ Dallas Mavericks DAL 71%Green✕ 115–100
- Mon, 2 NovUtah Jazz @ San Antonio Spurs SA 89%Green✓ 97–119
- Mon, 2 NovBoston Celtics @ Houston Rockets HOU 69%Super✓ 93–109
- Mon, 2 NovPhoenix Suns @ Golden State Warriors GS 54%Red✓ 113–116
Probabilities come from ProbaLab's own model. They are for entertainment, not advice. How it works.