// NBA · Monday 2 November 2026
Atlanta Hawks vs Indiana Pacers prediction
Start 7:30pm ET ·
- Pick
- Atlanta Hawks
- Chance
- 74%
- Light
- Green
- Confidence
- High
Full breakdown: team stats, players & form →
Result
Final: Atlanta Hawks 108 – 104 Indiana Pacers. Our pick, Atlanta Hawks, won ✓.
Recent results
- Atlanta Hawks: 1 win from the last 5, average margin −9.6 points (L 99–121 @ NO, W 114–111 v CLE, L 117–129 v MIA, L 110–120 @ HOU, L 114–121 v HOU).
- Indiana Pacers: 1 win from the last 5, average margin −2.8 points (L 90–98 v BKN, L 125–145 @ MIA, L 109–114 v PHI, L 102–110 @ MIL, W 136–109 @ BKN).
This is the first meeting between these teams this season. Results are taken from final scores, most recent first.
Our pre-game preview
Atlanta Hawks are our pick on the road against the Indiana Pacers. The model gives them a 74% chance of winning, which makes this game a 65%+ top pick.
On the rosters we expect, Atlanta Hawks rate as the stronger team (80.0 to 64.9 on our team-strength rating), and that is the main reason for the pick.
Recent form: Atlanta Hawks have been losing by 1.4 points a game, while Indiana Pacers have been losing by 5.2 points a game.
Schedule: Indiana Pacers are on the second night of a back-to-back, which the model takes into account.
Injuries: Atlanta Hawks will be without Jalen Johnson (33 min a game) and Jock Landale (15 min a game) and Indiana Pacers will be without Tyrese Haliburton (33 min a game), Andrew Nembhard (33 min a game), Pascal Siakam (32 min a game), Obi Toppin (23 min a game), Aaron Nesmith (23 min a game), Ivica Zubac (22 min a game), Johnny Furphy (21 min a game), T.J. McConnell (17 min a game) and Larry Nance Jr. (16 min a game). Players listed as unsure are counted by how likely they are to play.
Season so far: Atlanta Hawks are 7–4 and Indiana Pacers are 3–7.
This preview was written from the data we had before the game.
Game review
What happened
The Hawks beat the Pacers 108–104 on the road. Nickeil Alexander-Walker led them with 34 points, making 9 of 15 threes, and Luguentz Dort added 14. For the Pacers, Jay Huff had 22 points and 8 rebounds.
What the model got right
The model gave the Hawks a 74% chance on the road, mainly because of their higher team-strength rating (80.0 to 64.9), and they won by 4. Recent form pointed the same way: the Hawks had been losing by 1.4 points a game, the Pacers losing by 5.2. Jalen Johnson and Jock Landale for the Hawks, and Tyrese Haliburton, Pascal Siakam, Andrew Nembhard, Obi Toppin, Ivica Zubac, Aaron Nesmith, Larry Nance Jr., Johnny Furphy and T.J. McConnell for the Pacers, all missed the game, as the preview expected.
What didn't work
The pick came through, but only just: a 4-point game is closer than a 74% chance suggests. Jay Huff's 22 points for the Pacers weren't enough to change the result.
Why
The result fits what the model leaned on, the team-strength rating. One win doesn't prove the model right: at 74%, about 3 in 10 games like this go the other way, and every result stays on our record.
Written after the game. Scores and stats are checked against two independent sources.
More NBA predictions that day
- Mon, 2 NovOklahoma City Thunder @ Cleveland Cavaliers CLE 62%Orange✕ 117–112
- Mon, 2 NovWashington Wizards @ Orlando Magic ORL 61%Orange✕ 103–94
- Mon, 2 NovDetroit Pistons @ Charlotte Hornets DET 64%Orange✓ 124–91
- Mon, 2 NovBrooklyn Nets @ New York Knicks NY 91%Green✓ 90–103
- Mon, 2 NovChicago Bulls @ Philadelphia 76ers PHI 78%Green✓ 107–126
- Mon, 2 NovNew Orleans Pelicans @ Memphis Grizzlies MEM 67%Green✕ 135–134
- Mon, 2 NovMilwaukee Bucks @ Minnesota Timberwolves MIN 76%Green✓ 100–112
- Mon, 2 NovSacramento Kings @ Dallas Mavericks DAL 71%Green✕ 115–100
- Mon, 2 NovUtah Jazz @ San Antonio Spurs SA 89%Green✓ 97–119
- Mon, 2 NovBoston Celtics @ Houston Rockets HOU 69%Super✓ 93–109
- Mon, 2 NovPortland Trail Blazers @ Denver Nuggets DEN 66%Super✕ 118–110
- Mon, 2 NovPhoenix Suns @ Golden State Warriors GS 54%Red✓ 113–116
Probabilities come from ProbaLab's own model. They are for entertainment, not advice. How it works.