// NBA · Monday 2 November 2026
Phoenix Suns vs Golden State Warriors prediction
Start 10:00pm ET ·
- Pick
- Golden State Warriors
- Chance
- 54%
- Light
- Red
- Confidence
- Low
Full breakdown: team stats, players & form →
Result
Final: Phoenix Suns 113 – 116 Golden State Warriors. Our pick, Golden State Warriors, won ✓.
Recent results
- Phoenix Suns: 1 win from the last 4, average margin −12.5 points (L 120–127 v DEN, L 114–125 @ OKC, W 131–122 v GS, L 83–124 @ POR).
- Golden State Warriors: 4 wins from the last 5, average margin +9.0 points (W 124–112 v LAC, W 112–95 v LAL, W 119–114 @ MIN, W 134–114 @ DEN, L 122–131 @ PHX).
These teams have already met 1 time this season. Results are taken from final scores, most recent first.
Our pre-game preview
Golden State Warriors are our pick at home against the Phoenix Suns. The model gives them a 54% chance of winning, which makes this game close to a coin flip (under 55%).
On the rosters we expect, Golden State Warriors rate as the stronger team (92.1 to 90.1 on our team-strength rating), and that is the main reason for the pick.
Recent form: Phoenix Suns have been losing by 6.5 points a game, while Golden State Warriors have been winning by 0.4 points a game.
Schedule: Golden State Warriors are on the second night of a back-to-back, which the model takes into account.
Injuries: Phoenix Suns will be without Mark Williams (23 min a game) and Golden State Warriors will be without Jimmy Butler III (31 min a game), Moses Moody (28 min a game), Kristaps Porzingis (23 min a game), Gui Santos (20 min a game), Al Horford (19 min a game) and Brandon Williams (17 min a game). Players listed as unsure are counted by how likely they are to play.
Season so far: Phoenix Suns are 3–5 and Golden State Warriors are 7–3.
This preview was written from the data we had before the game.
Game review
What happened
The Warriors beat the Suns 116–113 at home. Stephen Curry led them with 34 points, 6 rebounds and 7 assists, making 5 of 13 threes, and Brandin Podziemski added 20. For the Suns, Devin Booker had 26 points and 5 assists.
What the model got right
The model gave the Warriors a 54% chance at home, mainly because of their higher team-strength rating (92.1 to 90.1), and they won by 3. Recent form pointed the same way: the Warriors had been winning by 0.4 points a game, the Suns losing by 6.5. Mark Williams for the Suns, and Brandon Williams, Gui Santos, Al Horford, Jimmy Butler III, Moses Moody and Kristaps Porzingis for the Warriors, all missed the game, as the preview expected.
What didn't work
Not much went against the model in this one. Devin Booker's 26 points for the Suns weren't enough to change the result.
Why
The result fits what the model leaned on, the team-strength rating. One win doesn't prove the model right: at 54% this was close to a coin flip, so it could easily have gone the other way, and every result stays on our record.
Written after the game. Scores and stats are checked against two independent sources.
More NBA predictions that day
- Mon, 2 NovOklahoma City Thunder @ Cleveland Cavaliers CLE 62%Orange✕ 117–112
- Mon, 2 NovWashington Wizards @ Orlando Magic ORL 61%Orange✕ 103–94
- Mon, 2 NovDetroit Pistons @ Charlotte Hornets DET 64%Orange✓ 124–91
- Mon, 2 NovBrooklyn Nets @ New York Knicks NY 91%Green✓ 90–103
- Mon, 2 NovAtlanta Hawks @ Indiana Pacers ATL 74%Green✓ 108–104
- Mon, 2 NovChicago Bulls @ Philadelphia 76ers PHI 78%Green✓ 107–126
- Mon, 2 NovNew Orleans Pelicans @ Memphis Grizzlies MEM 67%Green✕ 135–134
- Mon, 2 NovMilwaukee Bucks @ Minnesota Timberwolves MIN 76%Green✓ 100–112
- Mon, 2 NovSacramento Kings @ Dallas Mavericks DAL 71%Green✕ 115–100
- Mon, 2 NovUtah Jazz @ San Antonio Spurs SA 89%Green✓ 97–119
- Mon, 2 NovBoston Celtics @ Houston Rockets HOU 69%Super✓ 93–109
- Mon, 2 NovPortland Trail Blazers @ Denver Nuggets DEN 66%Super✕ 118–110
Probabilities come from ProbaLab's own model. They are for entertainment, not advice. How it works.