// NBA · Monday 2 November 2026
New Orleans Pelicans vs Memphis Grizzlies prediction
Start 8:00pm ET ·
- Pick
- Memphis Grizzlies
- Chance
- 67%
- Light
- Green
- Confidence
- High
Full breakdown: team stats, players & form →
Result
Final: New Orleans Pelicans 135 – 134 Memphis Grizzlies. Our pick, Memphis Grizzlies, lost ✕.
Recent results
- New Orleans Pelicans: 2 wins from the last 5, average margin +2.8 points (W 121–99 v ATL, W 132–120 v SAC, L 91–104 v DEN, L 135–141 @ DEN, L 119–120 @ UTAH).
- Memphis Grizzlies: 5 wins from the last 5, average margin +14.2 points (W 136–105 v SAC, W 124–103 @ POR, W 110–105 @ UTAH, W 123–112 @ SAC, W 111–108 @ GS).
This is the first meeting between these teams this season. Results are taken from final scores, most recent first.
Our pre-game preview
Memphis Grizzlies are our pick at home against the New Orleans Pelicans. The model gives them a 67% chance of winning, which makes this game a 65%+ top pick.
On the rosters we expect, Memphis Grizzlies rate as the stronger team (97.3 to 94.1 on our team-strength rating), and that is the main reason for the pick.
Recent form: New Orleans Pelicans have been losing by 0.7 points a game, while Memphis Grizzlies have been winning by 0.9 points a game.
Injuries: New Orleans Pelicans will be without Dejounte Murray (32 min a game), Yves Missi (20 min a game) and Jordan Poole (16 min a game) and Memphis Grizzlies will be without Scotty Pippen Jr. (16 min a game) and Quinten Post (15 min a game). Players listed as unsure are counted by how likely they are to play.
Season so far: New Orleans Pelicans are 4–5 and Memphis Grizzlies are 6–3.
This preview was written from the data we had before the game.
Game review
What happened
The Pelicans beat the Grizzlies 135–134 on the road. Zion Williamson and Karlo Matkovic led them with 25 points each. For the Grizzlies, Ty Jerome had 40 points, 5 rebounds and 5 assists, making 5 of 6 threes.
What the model got right
Dejounte Murray, Yves Missi and Jordan Poole for the Pelicans, and Scotty Pippen Jr. and Quinten Post for the Grizzlies, all missed the game, as the preview expected. Beyond that, not much went the model's way on the night.
What didn't work
The model made the Grizzlies the favourite at 67%, and that was wrong: the Pelicans won by 1. Our team-strength rating had the Grizzlies ahead (97.3 to 94.1), and that didn't hold up.
Why
The pick rested mostly on our team-strength rating, which has no way to see a night like this one coming. Even at 67%, about 3 in 10 games like this go the other way, and this was one of them. It stays on our record like every other result.
Written after the game. Scores and stats are checked against two independent sources.
More NBA predictions that day
- Mon, 2 NovOklahoma City Thunder @ Cleveland Cavaliers CLE 62%Orange✕ 117–112
- Mon, 2 NovWashington Wizards @ Orlando Magic ORL 61%Orange✕ 103–94
- Mon, 2 NovDetroit Pistons @ Charlotte Hornets DET 64%Orange✓ 124–91
- Mon, 2 NovBrooklyn Nets @ New York Knicks NY 91%Green✓ 90–103
- Mon, 2 NovAtlanta Hawks @ Indiana Pacers ATL 74%Green✓ 108–104
- Mon, 2 NovChicago Bulls @ Philadelphia 76ers PHI 78%Green✓ 107–126
- Mon, 2 NovMilwaukee Bucks @ Minnesota Timberwolves MIN 76%Green✓ 100–112
- Mon, 2 NovSacramento Kings @ Dallas Mavericks DAL 71%Green✕ 115–100
- Mon, 2 NovUtah Jazz @ San Antonio Spurs SA 89%Green✓ 97–119
- Mon, 2 NovBoston Celtics @ Houston Rockets HOU 69%Super✓ 93–109
- Mon, 2 NovPortland Trail Blazers @ Denver Nuggets DEN 66%Super✕ 118–110
- Mon, 2 NovPhoenix Suns @ Golden State Warriors GS 54%Red✓ 113–116
Probabilities come from ProbaLab's own model. They are for entertainment, not advice. How it works.