// NBA · Monday 2 November 2026
Oklahoma City Thunder vs Cleveland Cavaliers prediction
Start 7:00pm ET ·
- Pick
- Cleveland Cavaliers
- Chance
- 62%
- Light
- Orange
- Confidence
- Medium
Full breakdown: team stats, players & form →
Result
Final: Oklahoma City Thunder 117 – 112 Cleveland Cavaliers. Our pick, Cleveland Cavaliers, lost ✕.
Recent results
- Oklahoma City Thunder: 3 wins from the last 5, average margin −3.0 points (L 98–119 @ HOU, L 96–120 @ DAL, W 125–114 v PHX, W 108–101 v LAC, W 96–84 v DEN).
- Cleveland Cavaliers: 4 wins from the last 5, average margin +7.6 points (W 136–111 @ MIL, L 111–114 @ ATL, W 121–111 v WSH, W 127–125 v MIN, W 125–121 v BKN).
This is the first meeting between these teams this season. Results are taken from final scores, most recent first.
Our pre-game preview
Cleveland Cavaliers are our pick at home against the Oklahoma City Thunder. The model gives them a 62% chance of winning, which makes this game a lean (55 to 65%).
On the rosters we expect, Cleveland Cavaliers rate as the stronger team (94.8 to 83.0 on our team-strength rating), and that is the main reason for the pick.
Recent form: Oklahoma City Thunder have been winning by 1.6 points a game, while Cleveland Cavaliers have been winning by 1.8 points a game.
Injuries: Oklahoma City Thunder will be without Jalen Williams (32 min a game), Chet Holmgren (30 min a game), Alex Caruso (19 min a game) and Cason Wallace (16 min a game) and Cleveland Cavaliers will be without Peyton Watson (28 min a game) and Jaylon Tyson (21 min a game). Players listed as unsure are counted by how likely they are to play.
Season so far: Oklahoma City Thunder are 8–2 and Cleveland Cavaliers are 5–5.
This preview was written from the data we had before the game.
Game review
What happened
The Thunder beat the Cavaliers 117–112 on the road. Shai Gilgeous-Alexander led them with 43 points and 8 assists, and Ajay Mitchell added 20. For the Cavaliers, Donovan Mitchell had 17 points, 5 rebounds and 11 assists.
What the model got right
Jalen Williams, Chet Holmgren, Alex Caruso and Cason Wallace for the Thunder, and Peyton Watson and Jaylon Tyson for the Cavaliers, all missed the game, as the preview expected. Beyond that, not much went the model's way on the night.
What didn't work
The model made the Cavaliers a slight favourite at 62%, and that was wrong: the Thunder won by 5. The Thunder out-rebounded the Cavaliers 54–46. Our team-strength rating had the Cavaliers ahead (94.8 to 83.0), and that didn't hold up.
Why
The pick rested mostly on our team-strength rating, which has no way to see a night like this one coming. Even at 62%, about 4 in 10 games like this go the other way, and this was one of them. It stays on our record like every other result.
Written after the game. Scores and stats are checked against two independent sources.
More NBA predictions that day
- Mon, 2 NovWashington Wizards @ Orlando Magic ORL 61%Orange✕ 103–94
- Mon, 2 NovDetroit Pistons @ Charlotte Hornets DET 64%Orange✓ 124–91
- Mon, 2 NovBrooklyn Nets @ New York Knicks NY 91%Green✓ 90–103
- Mon, 2 NovAtlanta Hawks @ Indiana Pacers ATL 74%Green✓ 108–104
- Mon, 2 NovChicago Bulls @ Philadelphia 76ers PHI 78%Green✓ 107–126
- Mon, 2 NovNew Orleans Pelicans @ Memphis Grizzlies MEM 67%Green✕ 135–134
- Mon, 2 NovMilwaukee Bucks @ Minnesota Timberwolves MIN 76%Green✓ 100–112
- Mon, 2 NovSacramento Kings @ Dallas Mavericks DAL 71%Green✕ 115–100
- Mon, 2 NovUtah Jazz @ San Antonio Spurs SA 89%Green✓ 97–119
- Mon, 2 NovBoston Celtics @ Houston Rockets HOU 69%Super✓ 93–109
- Mon, 2 NovPortland Trail Blazers @ Denver Nuggets DEN 66%Super✕ 118–110
- Mon, 2 NovPhoenix Suns @ Golden State Warriors GS 54%Red✓ 113–116
Probabilities come from ProbaLab's own model. They are for entertainment, not advice. How it works.