Oklahoma City Thunder vs Sacramento Kings prediction

Recent results

• Oklahoma City Thunder: 2 wins from the last 5, average margin +7.8 points (L 112–113 @ LAC, L 108–118 @ POR, L 103–123 @ POR, W 114–75 v WSH, W 128–97 @ MEM).
• Sacramento Kings: 0 wins from the last 5, average margin −10.8 points (L 107–120 v POR, L 100–107 v ORL, L 108–114 v MIA, L 109–124 v SA, L 103–116 v LAL).

This is the first meeting between these teams this season. Results are taken from final scores, most recent first.

Preview

Oklahoma City Thunder are our pick on the road against the Sacramento Kings. The model gives them a 78% chance of winning, which makes this game a 65%+ top pick.

On the rosters we expect, Oklahoma City Thunder rate as the stronger team (89.4 to 84.5 on our team-strength rating), and that is the main reason for the pick.

Recent form: Oklahoma City Thunder have been winning by 4.5 points a game, while Sacramento Kings have been losing by 11.6 points a game.

Injuries: Oklahoma City Thunder will be without Chet Holmgren (29 min a game), Jalen Williams (26 min a game), Cason Wallace (24 min a game) and Jaylin Williams (23 min a game), Ajay Mitchell (questionable) may not play for Oklahoma City Thunder, Sacramento Kings will be without Maxime Raynaud (33 min a game) and Keegan Murray (questionable) and Precious Achiuwa (questionable) may not play for Sacramento Kings. Players listed as unsure are counted by how likely they are to play.

Season so far: Oklahoma City Thunder are 8–5 and Sacramento Kings are 1–11.

What could change the pick: late injury news. We re-check every 15 minutes until game time, then the pick is frozen and stays on our public record, win or lose.

This is one of our top picks: Oklahoma City Thunder at 78% to win.