// NBA · Sunday 15 November 2026
Dallas Mavericks vs Boston Celtics prediction
Start 6:00pm ET ·
- Pick
- Boston Celtics
- Chance
- 84%
- Light
- Green
- Confidence
- High
Full breakdown: team stats, players & form → Player props →
Injury report
⚠ Key player out or doubtful: Daniel Gafford (Out).
Dallas Mavericks
- Daniel Gafford F · Out · Face key player (15 Nov, 1:31 pm AEDT)
- Max Christie G · Out · Ankle (15 Nov, 10:02 am AEDT)
- Dereck Lively II C · Out · Foot (12 Nov, 9:13 am AEDT)
- Tarik Biberovic F · Out · Heel (12 Nov, 9:12 am AEDT)
- Sergio de Larrea F · Out · Knee (12 Nov, 9:10 am AEDT)
Boston Celtics
no players on the injury report.
● Out● May miss / reduced minutes● Probable / returning
Statuses from the official team injury reports. Updated 15 Nov, 7:37 pm AEDT; refreshed every 15 minutes.
Recent results
- Dallas Mavericks: 3 wins from the last 5, average margin +0.6 points (L 117–127 @ CLE, L 94–133 @ MIN, W 125–122 v IND, W 130–93 v BKN, W 112–100 v UTAH).
- Boston Celtics: 5 wins from the last 5, average margin +18.6 points (W 98–93 @ TOR, W 123–101 @ PHI, W 117–97 @ MIL, W 119–80 @ CHA, W 109–102 v MIL).
This is the first meeting between these teams this season. Results are taken from final scores, most recent first.
Preview
Boston Celtics are our pick at home against the Dallas Mavericks. The model gives them a 84% chance of winning, which makes this game a 65%+ top pick.
Dallas Mavericks rate slightly stronger on the rosters we expect (93.1 to 91.8 on our team-strength rating), but home court push the pick to Boston Celtics.
Recent form: Dallas Mavericks have been losing by 2.4 points a game, while Boston Celtics have been winning by 11.0 points a game.
Schedule: Dallas Mavericks are on the second night of a back-to-back, which the model takes into account.
Injuries: Dallas Mavericks will be without Daniel Gafford (22 min a game) and Dereck Lively II (16 min a game). Players listed as unsure are counted by how likely they are to play.
Season so far: Dallas Mavericks are 7–6 and Boston Celtics are 10–2.
What could change the pick: late injury news. We re-check every 15 minutes until game time, then the pick is frozen and stays on our public record, win or lose.
This is one of our top picks: Boston Celtics at 84% to win.
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Probabilities come from ProbaLab's own model. They are for entertainment, not advice. How it works.