New York Knicks vs Toronto Raptors prediction

Recent results

• New York Knicks: 3 wins from the last 5, average margin +12.8 points (L 104–106 @ IND, L 107–115 v CLE, W 117–85 v MIL, W 109–97 @ CLE, W 135–105 v CHI).
• Toronto Raptors: 1 win from the last 5, average margin −7.4 points (L 112–123 @ PHI, L 93–98 v BOS, L 102–118 v MEM, W 121–107 @ MIL, L 109–128 @ DEN).

This is the first meeting between these teams this season. Results are taken from final scores, most recent first.

Preview

New York Knicks are our pick on the road against the Toronto Raptors. The model gives them a 61% chance of winning, which makes this game a lean (55 to 65%).

On the rosters we expect, the teams rate almost level (90.3 to 89.8 on our team-strength rating), so rest and form decide the pick.

Recent form: New York Knicks have been winning by 8.0 points a game, while Toronto Raptors have been winning by 0.6 points a game.

Injuries: Toronto Raptors will be without Scottie Barnes (34 min a game) and Kawhi Leonard (31 min a game). Players listed as unsure are counted by how likely they are to play.

Season so far: New York Knicks are 6–6 and Toronto Raptors are 5–7.

What could change the pick: late injury news. We re-check every 15 minutes until game time, then the pick is frozen and stays on our public record, win or lose.