Golden State Warriors vs New Orleans Pelicans prediction

Recent results

• Golden State Warriors: 3 wins from the last 5, average margin +6.6 points (L 85–123 @ SA, L 108–115 @ HOU, W 138–87 v NO, W 126–119 v ORL, W 120–100 v MIA).
• New Orleans Pelicans: 0 wins from the last 5, average margin −28.0 points (L 108–116 v DEN, L 111–142 v MEM, L 111–145 v BKN, L 87–138 @ GS, L 123–139 @ LAC).

These teams have already met 1 time this season. Results are taken from final scores, most recent first.

Preview

Golden State Warriors are our pick on the road against the New Orleans Pelicans. The model gives them a 52% chance of winning, which makes this game close to a coin flip (under 55%).

New Orleans Pelicans rate slightly stronger on the rosters we expect (91.3 to 83.7 on our team-strength rating), but rest and form push the pick to Golden State Warriors.

Recent form: Golden State Warriors have been winning by 1.9 points a game, while New Orleans Pelicans have been losing by 10.8 points a game.

Injuries: Golden State Warriors will be without Jimmy Butler III (31 min a game), Moses Moody (28 min a game), Stephen Curry (27 min a game), Kristaps Porzingis (23 min a game) and Brandon Williams (16 min a game) and New Orleans Pelicans will be without Trey Murphy III (33 min a game), Dejounte Murray (31 min a game) and Trendon Watford (18 min a game). Players listed as unsure are counted by how likely they are to play.

Season so far: Golden State Warriors are 8–5 and New Orleans Pelicans are 4–10.

What could change the pick: late injury news. We re-check every 15 minutes until game time, then the pick is frozen and stays on our public record, win or lose.