// NBA · Friday 6 November 2026
Washington Wizards vs Atlanta Hawks prediction
Start 7:00pm ET ·
- Pick
- Atlanta Hawks
- Chance
- 76%
- Light
- Green
- Confidence
- High
Full breakdown: team stats, players & form →
Result
Final: Washington Wizards 132 – 139 Atlanta Hawks. Our pick, Atlanta Hawks, won ✓.
Recent results
- Washington Wizards: 2 wins from the last 5, average margin −1.4 points (L 105–120 v ATL, W 103–94 @ ORL, W 95–79 v CHA, L 111–121 @ CLE, L 103–110 @ CHA).
- Atlanta Hawks: 3 wins from the last 5, average margin −2.4 points (W 120–105 @ WSH, W 108–104 @ IND, L 99–121 @ NO, W 114–111 v CLE, L 117–129 v MIA).
These teams have already met 1 time this season. Results are taken from final scores, most recent first.
Our pre-game preview
Atlanta Hawks are our pick at home against the Washington Wizards. The model gives them a 76% chance of winning, which makes this game a 65%+ top pick.
Washington Wizards rate slightly stronger on the rosters we expect (85.6 to 83.2 on our team-strength rating), but home court push the pick to Atlanta Hawks.
Recent form: Washington Wizards have been losing by 6.0 points a game, while Atlanta Hawks have been winning by 1.1 points a game.
Injuries: Washington Wizards will be without Anthony Davis (33 min a game), Jamir Watkins (24 min a game), Justin Champagnie (19 min a game) and Tristan Vukcevic (17 min a game) and Atlanta Hawks will be without Jalen Johnson (33 min a game) and Jock Landale (15 min a game). Players listed as unsure are counted by how likely they are to play.
Season so far: Washington Wizards are 4–6 and Atlanta Hawks are 7–4.
This preview was written from the data we had before the game.
Game review
What happened
The Hawks beat the Wizards 139–132 at home. Nickeil Alexander-Walker led them with 28 points, and Luguentz Dort added 25. For the Wizards, Kyshawn George had 33 points and 8 assists, making 5 of 7 threes.
What the model got right
The model gave the Hawks a 76% chance at home, mainly because of home court, even though the Wizards rated slightly stronger (85.6 to 83.2), and they won by 7. Recent form pointed the same way: the Hawks had been winning by 1.1 points a game, the Wizards losing by 6.0. Anthony Davis, Justin Champagnie, Jamir Watkins and Tristan Vukcevic for the Wizards, and Jalen Johnson and Jock Landale for the Hawks, all missed the game, as the preview expected.
What didn't work
Our rating had the Wizards slightly stronger on paper, and on the night that didn't decide it. Kyshawn George's 33 points for the Wizards weren't enough to change the result.
Why
The result fits what the model leaned on, home court. One win doesn't prove the model right: at 76%, about 2 in 10 games like this go the other way, and every result stays on our record.
Written after the game. Scores and stats are checked against two independent sources.
More NBA predictions that day
- Fri, 6 NovBoston Celtics @ Charlotte Hornets BOS 69%Green✓ 119–80
- Fri, 6 NovPhiladelphia 76ers @ Cleveland Cavaliers CLE 52%Red✓ 95–119
- Fri, 6 NovOklahoma City Thunder @ Memphis Grizzlies OKC 55%Red✓ 128–97
- Fri, 6 NovToronto Raptors @ Milwaukee Bucks TOR 50%Red✓ 121–107
- Fri, 6 NovMinnesota Timberwolves @ New Orleans Pelicans MIN 54%Red✓ 115–109
- Fri, 6 NovUtah Jazz @ Dallas Mavericks DAL 68%Green✓ 100–112
- Fri, 6 NovPortland Trail Blazers @ Los Angeles Lakers LAL 69%Super✓ 118–124
- Fri, 6 NovSan Antonio Spurs @ Sacramento Kings SA 84%Green✓ 124–109
Probabilities come from ProbaLab's own model. They are for entertainment, not advice. How it works.