// NBA · Friday 6 November 2026
Toronto Raptors vs Milwaukee Bucks prediction
Start 8:00pm ET ·
- Pick
- Toronto Raptors
- Chance
- 50%
- Light
- Red
- Confidence
- Low
Full breakdown: team stats, players & form →
Result
Final: Toronto Raptors 121 – 107 Milwaukee Bucks. Our pick, Toronto Raptors, won ✓.
Recent results
- Toronto Raptors: 2 wins from the last 5, average margin +1.0 points (L 109–128 @ DEN, W 125–118 @ LAC, L 125–131 @ LAL, L 114–121 v ORL, W 129–99 v ORL).
- Milwaukee Bucks: 1 win from the last 5, average margin −13.6 points (L 102–109 @ BOS, L 100–112 @ MIN, L 111–136 v CLE, L 100–132 v HOU, W 110–102 v IND).
This is the first meeting between these teams this season. Results are taken from final scores, most recent first.
Our pre-game preview
Toronto Raptors are our pick on the road against the Milwaukee Bucks. The model gives them a 50% chance of winning, which makes this game close to a coin flip (under 55%).
Milwaukee Bucks rate slightly stronger on the rosters we expect (88.5 to 73.5 on our team-strength rating), but rest and form push the pick to Toronto Raptors.
Recent form: Toronto Raptors have been winning by 3.3 points a game, while Milwaukee Bucks have been losing by 11.4 points a game.
Injuries: Toronto Raptors will be without Scottie Barnes (33 min a game), Immanuel Quickley (32 min a game) and Kawhi Leonard (26 min a game). Players listed as unsure are counted by how likely they are to play.
Season so far: Toronto Raptors are 5–4 and Milwaukee Bucks are 1–8.
This preview was written from the data we had before the game.
Game review
What happened
The Raptors beat the Bucks 121–107 on the road. RJ Barrett and Alijah Martin led them with 27 points each. For the Bucks, Tyler Herro had 23 points, 5 rebounds and 10 assists.
What the model got right
The model gave the Raptors a 50% chance on the road, mainly because of rest and form, even though the Bucks rated clearly stronger (88.5 to 73.5), and they won by 14. Recent form pointed the same way: the Raptors had been winning by 3.2 points a game, the Bucks losing by 11.4. Scottie Barnes, Kawhi Leonard and Immanuel Quickley for the Raptors all missed the game, as the preview expected.
What didn't work
Our rating had the Bucks clearly stronger on paper, and on the night that didn't decide it. Tyler Herro's 23 points for the Bucks weren't enough to change the result.
Why
The result fits what the model leaned on, rest and form. One win doesn't prove the model right: at 50% this was close to a coin flip, so it could easily have gone the other way, and every result stays on our record.
Written after the game. Scores and stats are checked against two independent sources.
More NBA predictions that day
- Fri, 6 NovWashington Wizards @ Atlanta Hawks ATL 76%Green✓ 132–139
- Fri, 6 NovBoston Celtics @ Charlotte Hornets BOS 69%Green✓ 119–80
- Fri, 6 NovPhiladelphia 76ers @ Cleveland Cavaliers CLE 52%Red✓ 95–119
- Fri, 6 NovOklahoma City Thunder @ Memphis Grizzlies OKC 55%Red✓ 128–97
- Fri, 6 NovMinnesota Timberwolves @ New Orleans Pelicans MIN 54%Red✓ 115–109
- Fri, 6 NovUtah Jazz @ Dallas Mavericks DAL 68%Green✓ 100–112
- Fri, 6 NovPortland Trail Blazers @ Los Angeles Lakers LAL 69%Super✓ 118–124
- Fri, 6 NovSan Antonio Spurs @ Sacramento Kings SA 84%Green✓ 124–109
Probabilities come from ProbaLab's own model. They are for entertainment, not advice. How it works.