// NBA · Friday 6 November 2026
Minnesota Timberwolves vs New Orleans Pelicans prediction
Start 8:00pm ET ·
- Pick
- Minnesota Timberwolves
- Chance
- 54%
- Light
- Red
- Confidence
- Low
Full breakdown: team stats, players & form →
Result
Final: Minnesota Timberwolves 115 – 109 New Orleans Pelicans. Our pick, Minnesota Timberwolves, won ✓.
Recent results
- Minnesota Timberwolves: 3 wins from the last 5, average margin +6.6 points (W 117–107 @ HOU, W 112–100 v MIL, L 111–121 @ SA, W 127–101 v LAC, L 114–119 v GS).
- New Orleans Pelicans: 4 wins from the last 5, average margin +5.8 points (W 120–113 v UTAH, W 135–134 @ MEM, W 121–99 v ATL, W 132–120 v SAC, L 91–104 v DEN).
This is the first meeting between these teams this season. Results are taken from final scores, most recent first.
Our pre-game preview
Minnesota Timberwolves are our pick on the road against the New Orleans Pelicans. The model gives them a 54% chance of winning, which makes this game close to a coin flip (under 55%).
New Orleans Pelicans rate slightly stronger on the rosters we expect (95.8 to 86.8 on our team-strength rating), but rest and form push the pick to Minnesota Timberwolves.
Recent form: Minnesota Timberwolves have been winning by 5.3 points a game, while New Orleans Pelicans have been winning by 0.2 points a game.
Injuries: Minnesota Timberwolves will be without Anthony Edwards (34 min a game), Donte DiVincenzo (27 min a game) and Terrence Shannon Jr. (22 min a game) and New Orleans Pelicans will be without Yves Missi (20 min a game). Players listed as unsure are counted by how likely they are to play.
Season so far: Minnesota Timberwolves are 7–3 and New Orleans Pelicans are 4–5.
This preview was written from the data we had before the game.
Game review
What happened
The Timberwolves beat the Pelicans 115–109 on the road. Ayo Dosunmu led them with 26 points, and Jaden McDaniels added 23. For the Pelicans, Jeremiah Fears had 24 points, 5 rebounds and 5 assists.
What the model got right
The model gave the Timberwolves a 54% chance on the road, mainly because of rest and form, even though the Pelicans rated clearly stronger (95.8 to 86.8), and they won by 6. Recent form pointed the same way: the Timberwolves had been winning by 5.3 points a game, the Pelicans winning by 0.2. Anthony Edwards, Terrence Shannon Jr. and Donte DiVincenzo for the Timberwolves, and Yves Missi for the Pelicans, all missed the game, as the preview expected.
What didn't work
Our rating had the Pelicans clearly stronger on paper, and on the night that didn't decide it. Jeremiah Fears's 24 points for the Pelicans weren't enough to change the result.
Why
The result fits what the model leaned on, rest and form. One win doesn't prove the model right: at 54% this was close to a coin flip, so it could easily have gone the other way, and every result stays on our record.
Written after the game. Scores and stats are checked against two independent sources.
More NBA predictions that day
- Fri, 6 NovWashington Wizards @ Atlanta Hawks ATL 76%Green✓ 132–139
- Fri, 6 NovBoston Celtics @ Charlotte Hornets BOS 69%Green✓ 119–80
- Fri, 6 NovPhiladelphia 76ers @ Cleveland Cavaliers CLE 52%Red✓ 95–119
- Fri, 6 NovOklahoma City Thunder @ Memphis Grizzlies OKC 55%Red✓ 128–97
- Fri, 6 NovToronto Raptors @ Milwaukee Bucks TOR 50%Red✓ 121–107
- Fri, 6 NovUtah Jazz @ Dallas Mavericks DAL 68%Green✓ 100–112
- Fri, 6 NovPortland Trail Blazers @ Los Angeles Lakers LAL 69%Super✓ 118–124
- Fri, 6 NovSan Antonio Spurs @ Sacramento Kings SA 84%Green✓ 124–109
Probabilities come from ProbaLab's own model. They are for entertainment, not advice. How it works.