// NBA · Friday 6 November 2026
San Antonio Spurs vs Sacramento Kings prediction
Start 10:00pm ET ·
- Pick
- San Antonio Spurs
- Chance
- 84%
- Light
- Green
- Confidence
- High
Full breakdown: team stats, players & form →
Result
Final: San Antonio Spurs 124 – 109 Sacramento Kings. Our pick, San Antonio Spurs, won ✓.
Recent results
- San Antonio Spurs: 5 wins from the last 5, average margin +13.2 points (W 112–111 v DAL, W 119–97 v UTAH, W 121–111 v MIN, W 117–111 @ UTAH, W 130–103 v SAC).
- Sacramento Kings: 1 win from the last 5, average margin −13.6 points (L 103–116 v LAL, W 115–100 @ DAL, L 105–136 @ MEM, L 120–132 @ NO, L 103–130 @ SA).
These teams have already met 1 time this season. Results are taken from final scores, most recent first.
Our pre-game preview
San Antonio Spurs are our pick on the road against the Sacramento Kings. The model gives them a 84% chance of winning, which makes this game a 65%+ top pick.
On the rosters we expect, San Antonio Spurs rate as the stronger team (94.6 to 88.3 on our team-strength rating), and that is the main reason for the pick.
Recent form: San Antonio Spurs have been winning by 7.1 points a game, while Sacramento Kings have been losing by 11.1 points a game.
Injuries: San Antonio Spurs will be without Tobias Harris (31 min a game) and Sacramento Kings will be without Maxime Raynaud (33 min a game), De'Andre Hunter (31 min a game) and Keegan Murray (27 min a game). Players listed as unsure are counted by how likely they are to play.
Season so far: San Antonio Spurs are 8–2 and Sacramento Kings are 1–8.
This preview was written from the data we had before the game.
Game review
What happened
The Spurs beat the Kings 124–109 on the road. Victor Wembanyama led them with 30 points and 14 rebounds, and Devin Vassell added 19. For the Kings, Darius Acuff Jr. had 22 points and 8 assists.
What the model got right
The model gave the Spurs an 84% chance on the road, mainly because of their higher team-strength rating (94.6 to 88.3), and they won by 15. Recent form pointed the same way: the Spurs had been winning by 7.1 points a game, the Kings losing by 11.1. Tobias Harris for the Spurs, and De'Andre Hunter, Keegan Murray and Maxime Raynaud for the Kings, all missed the game, as the preview expected.
What didn't work
Not much went against the model in this one. Darius Acuff Jr.'s 22 points for the Kings weren't enough to change the result.
Why
The result fits what the model leaned on, the team-strength rating. One win doesn't prove the model right: at 84%, about 2 in 10 games like this go the other way, and every result stays on our record.
Written after the game. Scores and stats are checked against two independent sources.
More NBA predictions that day
- Fri, 6 NovWashington Wizards @ Atlanta Hawks ATL 76%Green✓ 132–139
- Fri, 6 NovBoston Celtics @ Charlotte Hornets BOS 69%Green✓ 119–80
- Fri, 6 NovPhiladelphia 76ers @ Cleveland Cavaliers CLE 52%Red✓ 95–119
- Fri, 6 NovOklahoma City Thunder @ Memphis Grizzlies OKC 55%Red✓ 128–97
- Fri, 6 NovToronto Raptors @ Milwaukee Bucks TOR 50%Red✓ 121–107
- Fri, 6 NovMinnesota Timberwolves @ New Orleans Pelicans MIN 54%Red✓ 115–109
- Fri, 6 NovUtah Jazz @ Dallas Mavericks DAL 68%Green✓ 100–112
- Fri, 6 NovPortland Trail Blazers @ Los Angeles Lakers LAL 69%Super✓ 118–124
Probabilities come from ProbaLab's own model. They are for entertainment, not advice. How it works.