Detroit Pistons vs Miami Heat prediction

Recent results

• Detroit Pistons: 3 wins from the last 5, average margin +7.4 points (W 144–140 @ WSH, W 122–111 v WSH, L 116–121 v LAL, L 106–112 v PHI, W 124–91 @ CHA).
• Miami Heat: 4 wins from the last 5, average margin +1.0 points (W 133–121 v CLE, W 115–109 @ UTAH, W 114–108 @ SAC, L 100–120 @ GS, W 117–116 @ LAC).

These teams have already met 1 time this season. Results are taken from final scores, most recent first.

Our pre-game preview

Detroit Pistons are our pick on the road against the Miami Heat. The model gives them a 63% chance of winning, which makes this game a lean (55 to 65%).

Miami Heat rate slightly stronger on the rosters we expect (96.8 to 92.4 on our team-strength rating), but rest and form push the pick to Detroit Pistons.

Recent form: Detroit Pistons have been winning by 6.4 points a game, while Miami Heat have been losing by 0.3 points a game.

Schedule: Miami Heat are on the second night of a back-to-back, which the model takes into account.

Injuries: Miami Heat will be without Pelle Larsson (30 min a game). Players listed as unsure are counted by how likely they are to play.

Season so far: Detroit Pistons are 8–4 and Miami Heat are 7–6.

This preview was written from the data we had before the game.