Denver Nuggets vs New Orleans Pelicans prediction

Recent results

• Denver Nuggets: 3 wins from the last 5, average margin +3.6 points (W 123–118 @ MEM, L 100–110 @ HOU, W 114–102 @ IND, W 128–109 v TOR, L 110–118 v POR).
• New Orleans Pelicans: 0 wins from the last 5, average margin −27.6 points (L 111–142 v MEM, L 111–145 v BKN, L 87–138 @ GS, L 123–139 @ LAC, L 109–115 v MIN).

These teams have already met 2 times this season. Results are taken from final scores, most recent first.

Our pre-game preview

Denver Nuggets are our pick on the road against the New Orleans Pelicans. The model gives them a 77% chance of winning, which makes this game a 65%+ top pick.

On the rosters we expect, Denver Nuggets rate as the stronger team (96.6 to 85.2 on our team-strength rating), and that is the main reason for the pick.

Recent form: Denver Nuggets have been winning by 2.7 points a game, while New Orleans Pelicans have been losing by 10.9 points a game.

Schedule: New Orleans Pelicans are on the second night of a back-to-back, which the model takes into account.

Injuries: New Orleans Pelicans will be without Trey Murphy III (33 min a game), Dejounte Murray (31 min a game) and Trendon Watford (18 min a game). Players listed as unsure are counted by how likely they are to play.

Season so far: Denver Nuggets are 7–4 and New Orleans Pelicans are 4–10.

This preview was written from the data we had before the game.