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// NFL · Week 9 · Sunday 8 November 2026

Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Chicago Bears prediction

Kick-off 8:20pm ET ·

Pick
Chicago Bears
Chance
71%
Light
Green
Confidence
High

Full breakdown: team stats, players & form →

Injury report

Tampa Bay Buccaneers

  • Yaya Diaby LB · Out · Knee - MCL (3 Nov, 7:53 am AEDT)
  • Jalen McMillan WR · Injured reserve · Knee - PCL (6 Nov, 3:08 am AEDT)
  • Josh Hayes CB · Injured reserve · Knee (29 Oct, 12:52 pm AEDT)
  • Emeka Egbuka WR · Questionable · Foot (7 Nov, 7:23 am AEDT)
  • Tristan Wirfs OT · Returning (7 Nov, 2:18 pm AEDT)
  • Tykee Smith S · Returning (7 Nov, 11:22 am AEDT)
  • Josiah Trotter LB · Returning (6 Nov, 2:21 pm AEDT)
  • Jacob Parrish CB · Returning (6 Nov, 2:08 pm AEDT)
  • Alex Anzalone LB · Returning (6 Nov, 1:57 pm AEDT)
  • Kenny Gainwell RB · Returning (6 Nov, 7:57 am AEDT)
  • Bauer Sharp TE · Returning (5 Nov, 6:17 am AEDT)
  • Tez Johnson WR · Returning (4 Nov, 2:07 pm AEDT)
  • +13 more

Chicago Bears

  • Zavier Scott RB · Injured reserve · Wrist (6 Nov, 8:19 am AEDT)
  • Kentavius Street DT · Injured reserve · Knee (5 Nov, 3:55 pm AEDT)
  • Braxton Jones OT · Injured reserve · Knee (5 Nov, 2:40 pm AEDT)
  • Tyrique Stevenson Sr. CB · Questionable · Thumb (7 Nov, 11:12 am AEDT)
  • Malik Muhammad II CB · Questionable · Toe (7 Nov, 11:07 am AEDT)
  • Kyle Monangai RB · Questionable · Toe (7 Nov, 6:58 am AEDT)
  • Salvon Ahmed RB · Returning (8 Nov, 10:35 am AEDT)
  • Grady Jarrett DE · Returning (7 Nov, 11:17 am AEDT)
  • Theo Benedet OT · Returning (7 Nov, 7:03 am AEDT)
  • D'Marco Jackson LB · Returning (7 Nov, 7:03 am AEDT)
  • Stephen Carlson TE · Returning (5 Nov, 1:12 pm AEDT)
  • Sam Roush TE · Returning (4 Nov, 7:15 am AEDT)
  • +13 more

● Out● May miss / reduced minutes● Probable / returning

Statuses from the official team injury reports. Updated 8 Nov, 5:44 pm AEDT; refreshed every 15 minutes.

Preview

Chicago Bears are our pick at home against the Tampa Bay Buccaneers in Week 9. The model gives them a 71% chance of winning, which makes this game a 65%+ top pick.

Chicago Bears have the higher team rating (1640 to 1506), built from results and winning margins, and they also have home field.

Quarterbacks: we expect Baker Mayfield to start for Tampa Bay Buccaneers (130 career starts); we expect Caleb Williams to start for Chicago Bears (41 career starts). We assume each team's most recent starter plays unless the injury report says otherwise.

Season so far: Tampa Bay Buccaneers are 3–5 and Chicago Bears are 6–2.

What could change the pick: late quarterback news. We re-check every 30 minutes until kick-off, then the pick is frozen and stays on our public record, win or lose.

This is one of our top picks: Chicago Bears at 71% to win.

Twice a week, Monday and Thursday: the model's GREEN calls, how the last batch went, wins and misses both. Free.

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Probabilities come from ProbaLab's own model. They are for entertainment, not advice. How it works.