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// NFL · Week 9 · Sunday 8 November 2026

Green Bay Packers vs New England Patriots prediction

Kick-off 4:25pm ET ·

Pick
New England Patriots
Chance
64%
Light
Orange
Confidence
Medium

Full breakdown: team stats, players & form →

Injury report

Green Bay Packers

  • Travis Glover OT · Out · Knee (7 Nov, 2:39 pm AEDT)
  • Sean Rhyan G · Out · Ankle (7 Nov, 2:37 pm AEDT)
  • Zaire Franklin LB · Out · Shin (7 Nov, 12:20 pm AEDT)
  • Josh Whyle TE · Out · Concussion (7 Nov, 12:13 pm AEDT)
  • Micah Parsons DE · Out · Knee - ACL (7 Nov, 7:48 am AEDT)
  • Chris Brooks RB · Injured reserve · Ankle (8 Nov, 12:36 pm AEDT)
  • Keisean Nixon CB · Questionable · Groin (7 Nov, 12:25 pm AEDT)
  • MarShawn Lloyd RB · Questionable · Knee (7 Nov, 7:52 am AEDT)
  • Drake Dabney TE · Returning (8 Nov, 8:05 am AEDT)
  • Aaron Banks G · Returning (7 Nov, 2:34 pm AEDT)
  • Christian Watson WR · Returning (7 Nov, 7:41 am AEDT)
  • Josh Jacobs RB · Returning (6 Nov, 2:49 am AEDT)
  • +13 more

New England Patriots

  • TreVeyon Henderson RB · Out · Illness (7 Nov, 5:30 am AEDT)
  • A.J. Brown WR · Out · Knee (7 Nov, 4:09 am AEDT)
  • Greg Van Roten G · Injured reserve · Hamstring (8 Nov, 2:43 pm AEDT)
  • Mack Hollins WR · Questionable · Calf (8 Nov, 8:23 am AEDT)
  • Hunter Henry TE · Questionable · Foot (7 Nov, 5:25 am AEDT)
  • Brenden Schooler S · Questionable · Hamstring (6 Nov, 8:55 am AEDT)
  • Morgan Moses OT · Questionable · Foot (5 Nov, 8:56 am AEDT)
  • Gabe Jacas LB · Returning (7 Nov, 2:21 pm AEDT)
  • Marcus Jones CB · Returning (7 Nov, 7:47 am AEDT)
  • Kevin Byard S · Returning (7 Nov, 7:47 am AEDT)
  • Carlton Davis III CB · Returning (7 Nov, 7:47 am AEDT)
  • Dre'Mont Jones DE · Returning (7 Nov, 7:46 am AEDT)
  • +13 more

● Out● May miss / reduced minutes● Probable / returning

Statuses from the official team injury reports. Updated 8 Nov, 5:44 pm AEDT; refreshed every 15 minutes.

Preview

New England Patriots are our pick at home against the Green Bay Packers in Week 9. The model gives them a 64% chance of winning, which makes this game a lean (55 to 65%).

New England Patriots have the higher team rating (1618 to 1542), built from results and winning margins, and they also have home field.

Quarterbacks: we expect Jordan Love to start for Green Bay Packers (60 career starts); we expect Drake Maye to start for New England Patriots (40 career starts). We assume each team's most recent starter plays unless the injury report says otherwise.

Season so far: Green Bay Packers are 5–3 and New England Patriots are 5–3.

What could change the pick: late quarterback news. We re-check every 30 minutes until kick-off, then the pick is frozen and stays on our public record, win or lose.

Twice a week, Monday and Thursday: the model's GREEN calls, how the last batch went, wins and misses both. Free.

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Probabilities come from ProbaLab's own model. They are for entertainment, not advice. How it works.